Labour policy—false and true : $b A study in economic history and industrial economicsMacassey, Lynden Livingston
History
Labour policy—false and true : $b A study in economic history and industrial economics
Macassey, Lynden Livingston
Industrial policy -- Great Britain; Labor economics -- Great Britain; Labour Party (Great Britain)
Business men contend that stability and not inflation or deflation
should have been aimed at by the Government, and that industry has been
gravely injured by the instability resulting from the Government’s
financial policy of deflating with the object of restoring an effective
gold standard. In pursuance of this policy, towards the end of 1919, the
bank rate was raised from 5 per cent. to 6 per cent., and Treasury Bill
rate from 4½ per cent. to 5½ per cent.; then in April 1920, the bank
rate was further raised to 7 per cent.[19] and the Treasury Bill to 6½
per cent. Appended to the Report of the War Wealth Committee, published
in May 1920, is a Treasury Memorandum explaining the policy. Inflation
and deflation are ambiguous terms; the Government has explained its
understanding of them to be the increase or decrease respectively of
purchasing power relative to the amount of commodities available for
purchase—purchasing power being measured by the amount of bank deposits
and currency in circulation. A masterly description of the nature and
effect on industry of the Government’s policy was given by the Right
Hon. R. McKenna at the Ordinary General Meeting of the London Joint
City and Midland Bank, Limited, on January 28, 1921. Mr. McKenna drew
the distinction, almost invariably overlooked, between “speculative
inflation”—a temporary condition remediable by making money dearer and
restricting credit—and “monetary inflation”—a more or less permanent
condition which cannot so be remedied. In regard to the latter he said:
“Dear money and a rigid restriction of credit, so far from proving an
effective means of restoring trade to a wholesome condition, could only
aggravate our evils.” Monetary inflation was due to gigantic war-time
borrowing by the Government, not for increasing industrial production,
but almost entirely for consumption. As loans remained outstanding after
the commodities had been consumed, there was an immense increase of
purchasing power relative to the amount of commodities available for
purchase. Mr. McKenna pointed out that the first effects of an attempt at
monetary deflation would be to cause severe trade depression, manifesting
itself in a fall in wholesale prices, due to goods being thrown upon
the market by traders who were unable to carry their stocks or who had
failed in business; a diminution in production; a reduction in prices; a
growth in unemployment; reduced purchasing power of wage-earners, and so
a further fall in wholesale and retail prices, and later, in consequence
of the trade depression, a decline in national revenue without any
diminution of the permanent liabilities of the Government. To pay taxes
traders would have to borrow from their banks; to meet national expenses
Government would have to resort to bank loans, and credit inflation would
again ensue. Mr. McKenna conclusively showed that monetary deflation can
only be achieved through repayment of the immense Government loans, which
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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