Lippincott's Magazine of Popular Literature and Science, Volume 12, No. 33, December, 1873Various
Science
Lippincott's Magazine of Popular Literature and Science, Volume 12, No. 33, December, 1873
Various
Literature, Modern -- 19th century -- Periodicals; Science -- Periodicals
This panic was not the result of paper-money inflation, nor of
inflated values, nor of reckless over-trading, nor of in-ordinate
speculation. The trade and commerce of the country were in a sound
and prosperous condition, and the prices of securities in Wall street
were, on the average, hardly in excess of real values, and in some
instances a little below them. It is true that the old trouble of
tight money was beginning to be felt, and the bears on the Stock
Exchange were trying to aggravate the natural monetary activity which
invariably attends the flow of currency westward to move the crops
early in the fall of the year, by "locking up" greenbacks and
otherwise. On the 6th of September the weekly return of the New York
banks, State and National, belonging to the Clearing-house, showed
that their legal-tender reserve had fallen to a little less than half
a million above the twenty-five per cent., which the National banks in
the large cities are required by the "National Currency Act" to
keep on hand against their deposits and notes; but this excited no
apprehension, and hardly occasioned surprise among those aware of the
drain of money for crop-moving purposes--the outward flow from Chicago
and Cincinnati to what I may call the agricultural districts having
been much larger than usual this season. After the four months of
unparalleled and continuous stringency experienced in the previous
winter and spring, when rates varying from a sixty-fourth to
seven-eighths of one per cent., per diem were paid in addition to
the legal seven per cent, per annum for call loans on first-class
collaterals--during all of which time stocks were firmly supported--it
is not to be supposed that Wall street or the general public felt much
uneasiness about the loan market or the financial prospect generally.
The deposits in the New York banks not only showed no falling off, but
were over two hundred and twelve millions against two hundred and nine
millions at the corresponding period in the previous year. The fall
trade had opened auspiciously; the earnings of the railways were
from five to fifteen per cent., larger than in 1872; the crops were
abundant--the cotton crop, in particular, being estimated at four
millions of bales--and it was supposed that the experience of
stringency just referred to had placed the banks, the speculative
community and the merchants in a conservative attitude, prepared
against a recurrence of dear money, and that therefore we should
escape a repetition of the painful ordeal.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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