But this was not the worst defect of Mill's attempt at a junction of
old and new through Whately's conception of Induction. A more serious
defect was due to the insufficiency of this conception to represent
all the modes of scientific inference. When a certain attribute has
been found in a certain connexion in this, that, and the other, to the
extent of all observed instances, we infer that it will be found in
all, that the connexion that has obtained within the range of our
actual experience has obtained beyond that range and will obtain
in the future. Call this an observed uniformity of nature: we hold
ourselves justified in expecting that the observed uniformities of
nature will continue. Such an observed uniformity--that All animals
have a nervous system, that All animals die, that Quinine cures
ague--is also called an Empirical Law.
But while we are justified in extending an empirical law beyond the
limits within which it has been observed to hold good, it is a
mistake to suppose that the main work of science is the collection
of empirical laws, and that the only scientific inference is the
inference from the observed prevalence of an empirical law to its
continuance. With science the collection of empirical laws is only
a preliminary: "the goal of science," in Herschel's phrase, "is
explanation". In giving such prominence to empirical laws in his
theory, Mill confined Induction to a narrower scope than science
ascribes to it. Science aims at reaching "the causes of things": it
tries to penetrate behind observed uniformities to the explanation
of them. In fact, as long as a science consists only of observed
uniformities, as long as it is in the empirical stage, it is a science
only by courtesy. Astronomy was in this stage before the discovery of
the Law of Gravitation. Medicine is merely empirical as long as its
practice rests upon such generalisations as that Quinine cures ague,
without knowing why. It is true that this explanation may consist only
in the discovery of a higher or deeper uniformity, a more recondite
law of connexion: the point is that these deeper laws are not always
open to observation, and that the method of reaching them is not
merely observing and recording.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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