It is with a view to overcoming these difficulties that Science
endeavours to isolate agencies and ascertain what each is capable of
singly. Mill and Bain treat Plurality of Causes and Intermixture of
Effects in connexion with the Experimental Methods. It is better,
perhaps, to regard them simply as obstacles to explanation, and the
Experimental Methods as methods of overcoming those obstacles. The
whole purpose of the Experimental Methods is to isolate agencies and
effects: unless they can be isolated, the Methods are inapplicable.
In situations where the effects observable may be referred with equal
probability to more than one cause, you cannot eliminate so as to
obtain a single agreement. The Method of Agreement is frustrated. And
an investigator can get no light from mixed effects, unless he
knows enough of the causes at work to be able to apply the Method
of Residues. If he does not, he must simply look out for or devise
instances where the agencies are at work separately, and apply the
principle of Single Difference.
Great, however, as the difficulties are, the theory of Plurality and
Intermixture baldly stated makes them appear greater than they are in
practice. There is a consideration that mitigates the complication,
and renders the task of unravelling it not altogether hopeless. This
is that different causes have distinctive ways of operating, and leave
behind them marks of their presence by which their agency in a given
case may be recognised.
An explosion, for example, occurs. There are several explosive
agencies, capable of causing as much destruction as meets the eye at
the first glance. The agent in the case before us may be gunpowder or
it may be dynamite. But the two agents are not so alike in their mode
of operation as to produce results identical in every circumstance.
The expert inquirer knows by previous observation that when gunpowder
acts the objects in the neighbourhood are blackened; and that an
explosion of dynamite tears and shatters in a way peculiar to
itself. He is thus able to interpret the traces, to make and prove a
hypothesis.
A man's body is found dead in water. It may be a question whether
death came by drowning or by previous violence. He may have been
suffocated and afterwards thrown into the water. But the circumstances
will tell the true story. Death by drowning has distinctive symptoms.
If drowning was the cause, water will be found in the stomach and
froth in the trachea.
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