Bacon's phrase, _Instantia Crucis_,[2] or Finger-post Instance, might
be conveniently appropriated as a technical name for a circumstance
that is decisive between rival hypotheses. This was, in effect,
proposed by Sir John Herschel,[3] who drew attention to the importance
of these crucial instances, and gave the following example: "A curious
example is given by M. Fresnel, as decisive, in his mind, of the
question between the two great opinions on the nature of light, which,
since the time of Newton and Huyghens, have divided philosophers.
When two very clean glasses are laid one on the other, if they be
not perfectly flat, but one or both in an almost imperceptible degree
convex or prominent, beautiful and vivid colours will be seen between
them; and if these be viewed through a red glass, their appearance
will be that of alternate dark and bright stripes.... Now, the
coloured stripes thus produced are explicable on both theories, and
are appealed to by both as strong confirmatory facts; but there is a
difference in one circumstance according as one or the other theory is
employed to explain them. In the case of the Huyghenian doctrine,
the intervals between the bright stripes ought to appear _absolutely
black_; in the other, _half bright_, when viewed [in a particular
manner] through a prism. This curious case of difference was tried as
soon as the opposing consequences of the two theories were noted by M.
Fresnel, and the result is stated by him to be decisive in favour
of that theory which makes light to consist in the vibrations of an
elastic medium."
III.--THE PROOF OF A HYPOTHESIS.
The completest proof of a hypothesis is when that which has been
hypothetically assumed to exist as a means of accounting for certain
phenomena is afterwards actually observed to exist or is proved by
descriptive testimony to have existed. Our argument, for example, from
internal evidence that Mill in writing his Logic aimed at furnishing
a method for social investigations is confirmed by a letter to Miss
Caroline Fox, in which he distinctly avowed that object.
The most striking example of this crowning verification in Science
is the discovery of the planet Neptune, in which case an agent
hypothetically assumed was actually brought under the telescope as
calculated. Examples almost equally striking have occurred in the
history of the Evolution doctrine. Hypothetical ancestors with certain
peculiarities of structure have been assumed as links between living
species, and in some cases their fossils have actually been found in
the geological register.
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