Malthus, T. R. (Thomas Robert), 1766-1834; Malthusianism
Malthus has adroitly used the work of Tooke to support his own
economical positions. In a review in the _Quarterly_ for April 1823[654]
(pages 214 _seq._) he tries to show that Mr. Tooke’s conclusions as to
the high and low prices of the past thirty years prove the following
general statements:—First, that values and therefore prices depend on
the supply compared with the demand, and are only affected by the labour
required to produce goods (_i. e._ by what Ricardo counts the main cause
of value) so far as this labour is the main condition of their supply;
second, that the supply and demand are chiefly affected by the seasons,
and, of the other causes, war may limit the supply but can hardly cause
a demand; third, that when demand outruns supply trade is brisk, when
supply outruns demand trade is dull; and that, finally, a long-continued
deficiency or a long-continued excess of this kind brings with it a fall
or a rise in the value of the precious metals.[655] Malthus, however,
goes further than Tooke with the Bullion Committee. Though on the
bullion question the opposing parties, Bosanquet and Ricardo, seemed to
him to be devoted to a preconceived theory,[656] the Report itself was
“more free from this error of preconception than any work that had
appeared on the subject;”[657] and he agreed with it that there had been
a greater rise of prices and of wages at the end of the period of
restriction, than could be explained by the bad seasons, and demand for
men, and the difference between paper and gold. He is old-fashioned
enough to think that even with convertibility there might be over-issue
and depreciation, and speculation on a basis of paper. His reasoning on
this point is hardly sound. It depends on a misapplication of the axiom
that, in the case of necessaries, a very small deficiency in the supply
will cause a very great increase in the price,—_e. g._ that wheat may
rise from 100 to 200 per cent. when the deficiency of the crops is not
more than 15 or 30.[658] The profits of English farmers between 1793 and
1815 must therefore have been enormous; and Malthus, though he loves
agriculture above manufacture, has taken account of these high gains of
individuals in judging the cause of the Agricultural Interest against
the public.[659] But in connection with currency he actually speaks as
if those gains were a public advantage; be does not see they were a mere
transference of public wealth, not an addition to it. The farmer, he
says, is obviously “able to set in motion a much greater quantity of
industry than before,” at least till wages have risen. “The specific
funds destined for the maintenance of labour, though diminished in
quantity, are by this happy provision of nature increased in their
efficiency;” labourers get more employment, and there is “a burst of
prosperity to the producing classes.”[660]
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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