Malthus, T. R. (Thomas Robert), 1766-1834; Malthusianism
In this connection it was impossible for him to avoid the question that
had long agitated the minds of politicians. Had the numbers of the
English people been decreasing or increasing since the Revolution of
1688, and especially in the course of the eighteenth century? Economists
of the present day are overloaded with statistics; but, when Adam Smith
wrote the _Wealth of Nations_, he was unaware of the numbers of his own
nation. To estimate population without a census is to study language
without a dictionary; there had been no census since the coming of the
Armada,[357] and it was not till one hundred years after that event that
statistical studies came much into favour. An annual enumeration of the
people was proposed in the House of Commons in 1753, as a means of
knowing the numbers of our poor.[358] But the proposal was resisted as
anti-Scriptural and un-English, exposing our weakness to the foreigner
and spending public money to settle the wagers of the learned. There was
probably a fear[359] that the tax-gatherer would follow on the heels of
the enumerator, as he had done in France. The House of Lords beat off
the bill, and left England in darkness about the numbers of its people
for another half-century, though something like a census of Scotland was
made for Government in 1755.[360] As without the Irish Famine we might
not have had the total Repeal of the Corn Laws, so without the worst of
all possible harvests in 1799 we might have had no census in 1801, for
Parliament, when they passed Mr. Abbot’s Enumeration Bill in 1800,
looked to an enumeration of the people to guide them in opening and
closing the ports to foreign grain. The practical question about the
increase or decline of English numbers was connected, in logic as well
as in time, with the controversy about the comparative populousness of
ancient and modern nations. The same year (1753) which saw the attempt
to settle by census the question of England’s depopulation, saw also the
publication of Dr. Robert Wallace’s reply to Hume’s _Essay on the
Populousness of Ancient Nations_, in his _Dissertations on the Numbers
of Mankind in Ancient and Modern Times_. One of Henry Fox’s objections
to Hardwicke’s Marriage Act (of 1753) was that it would check
population.[361] We are told[362] that the academical discussion roused
attention on the Continent, and a French savant, Deslandes, published an
estimate of the numbers of modern nations, in which England was made
much inferior to France, having only eight millions against twenty. This
was too much for English patriotism. Even in our own day a great war and
a few reverses usually fill England for a year or two with forebodings
of decay. Written in 1757 (at the beginning of the Seven Years’ War),
Dr. John Brown’s _Estimate of the Manners and Principles of the Times_
was only the most popular of a host of gloomy pamphlets too prejudiced
to be of much use for statistics.[363] Dr. Adam Anderson[364] sides with
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