The second result afforded by the cartouches is not of a destructive,
negative character,—however valuable the destruction of bars to
knowledge may be,—but of a constructive, positive one. It does not,
like the first, follow from mere inspection, but is brought to light
only by comparison of all the cartouches. In a positive way, therefore,
its testimony is as conclusive as it was in a negative direction. For
that 10,900 separate and independent data should result in a general
law of development through either conscious or unconscious bias, when
those data would have to be combined in so complicated a manner for the
result to emerge as is here the case, is impossible. Chance could not
do it and consciousness would require a coördinate memory, to which
Murphy’s nine games of chess at once would be child’s play.
Of the 109 canals examined 106 showed by their cartouches that they had
been during the whole or a part of the period in a state of change. But
the change was not the same for all. In some the minimum came early; in
others, late. Some decreased to nothing and stayed there; others
increased from zero and were increasing still at the time observations
closed.
Latitude proved the means of bringing comparative order out of the
chaos. When the canals were ranged according to their latitude on the
planet, a law in their development came to light. To understand it, the
circumstances under which the canals were presented must be considered
as regards the then season of the planet’s year. In 1903 the planet
passed on February 28 through the point of its orbit where the summer
solstice of the northern hemisphere occurs. One hundred and twenty-six
days later took place the first snowfall in the arctic and subarctic
regions, an event that denoted the beginning of the new polar cap; from
which date the snow there gradually increased. Its autumnal equinox the
planet did not reach till August 29. Now, the canals were observed from
thirty-six days before the summer solstice of the northern hemisphere
to one hundred and forty-seven days after that event. We may tabulate
the dates as follows:—
================+===========+================
DAY FROM | VERNAL | CORRESPONDING
SUMMER SOLSTICE | LONGITUDE | DATE ON EARTH
----------------+-----------+----------------
-30 | 77° | June 9
0 | 90° | June 22
+30 | 103° | July 6
+60 | 117° | July 20
+90 | 131° | August 4
+120 | 146° | August 20
+150 | 162° | September 5
================+===========+================
The vernal longitude is the longitude of the planet in its orbit
reckoned from the vernal equinox. From the table it appears that the
cartouches cover the development of the canals from about June 6 to
September 1 of the Martian northern hemisphere for the current but to
us undated year, _ab Marte condita_.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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