Meteorology: The Science of the AtmosphereTalman, Charles Fitzhugh
Science
Meteorology: The Science of the Atmosphere
Talman, Charles Fitzhugh
Meteorology
Professor Smith’s analysis of the Ohio records revealed a fact of so
much practical importance that this discovery alone suffices to place
agricultural meteorology among the most fruitful branches of knowledge
cultivated by mankind. He discovered that the success of the Ohio corn
crop depends chiefly upon the amount of rain that falls during the
month of July. The normal rainfall of that month for the State is 4
inches, while the average yield of corn during the past sixty years has
been 34.5 bushels per acre. Comparing the values for individual years,
it is found that the yield is strikingly sensitive to variations from
the normal July rainfall, and especially so when the rainfall is a
little more or less than 3 inches. Near this critical rainfall point, a
variation of _one-fourth inch_ of rain in July means a variation in the
value of the corn crop of Ohio of nearly $3,000,000, and a variation of
one-half inch makes an average variation in the value of the crop of
more than $7,500,000. When the rainfall for July averages over 5 inches
the probable yield of corn will be more than 27,000,000 bushels greater
than it will be if the rainfall averages less than 3 inches. In other
words, this difference of 2 inches in the rainfall for the month of
July adds $13,650,000 to the income derived by Ohio farmers from corn
alone.
Variations of the temperature in July, in Ohio, have been compared with
variations in the yield of corn, with the result that the temperature
of the month appears to have little effect upon the crop. Thus we find
Farmer A to have been right and Farmer B wrong; but both were merely
expressing personal opinions based upon an insignificant sum-total of
experience. Science rests upon a surer foundation.
Although the case of the Ohio corn crop is probably simpler than
most of those that agricultural meteorology has to deal with, for
the reason that a single meteorological element is, in this case, of
decisive importance, it illustrates a rule of quite general application
that has recently come to light; viz., that in the growth of any
particular crop there is usually a rather brief “critical period,”
when it is most sensitive to the influence of weather. For corn, in a
considerable area of the northern United States, this period is July,
or more specifically, in Ohio, the interval from July 11 to August 10.
The rainfall and temperature of other months have, however, definite
though minor influences, which can be evaluated for the same regions.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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