Miscellanea Curiosa, Vol. 1: Containing a collection of some of the principal phaenomena in nature, accounted for by the greatest philosophers of this age
History
Miscellanea Curiosa, Vol. 1: Containing a collection of some of the principal phaenomena in nature, accounted for by the greatest philosophers of this age
Natural history; Science -- Early works to 1800; Voyages and travels -- Early works to 1800
_Use_ III. But if it be enquired at what number of _Years_, it is an
even Lay that a Person of any _Age_ shall die, this Table readily
performs it; For if the _number_ of Persons _living_ of the _Age_
proposed, be _halfed_, it will be found by the _Table_ at what Year the
said _Number_ is reduced to half by _Mortality_; and that is the _Age_,
to which it is an even Wager, that a Person of the _Age_ proposed shall
arrive before he _die_. As for Instance; A Person of 30 Years of _Age_
is proposed, the number of that _Age_ is 531, the half thereof is 265,
which number I find to be between 57 and 58 Years; so that a Man of 30
may reasonably expect to live between 27 and 28 Years.
_Use_ IV. By what has been said, the _Price_ of _Insurance_ upon Lives
ought to be regulated, and the difference is discovered between the
_Price_ of insuring the _Life_ of a _Man_ of 20 and 50. For Example; It
being 100 to 1, that a Man of 20 dies not in a Year, and but 38 to 1,
for a Man of 50 Years of Age.
_Use_ V. On this depends the Valuation of _Annuities_ upon _Lives_; for
it is plain, that the _Purchaser_ ought to pay for only such a part of
the Value of the _Annuity_, as he has Chances that he is living; and
this ought to be computed yearly, and the Sum of all those yearly Values
being added together, will amount to the Value of the _Annuity_ for the
_Life_ of the Person proposed. Now the present Value of Money payable
after a Term of Years, at any given Rate of Interest, either may be had
from Tables already computed; or almost as compendiously, by the Table
of Logarithms: For the Arithmetical Complement of the Logarithm of
Unity, and its yearly Interest, (that is, of 1,06 for Six _per Cent._
being 9,974694.) being multiplied by the number of Years proposed, gives
the present Value of One Pound payable after the end of so many Years.
Then by the foregoing Proposition, it will be as the number of Persons
living after that Term of Years, to the number dead; so are the Odds
that any one Person is alive or dead. And by consequence, as the Sum of
both, or the number of Persons living of the _Age_ first proposed, to
the number remaining after so many Years, (both given by the Table) so
the present Value of the yearly Sum payable after the Term proposed, to
the Sum which ought to be paid for the Chance the Person has to enjoy
such an _Annuity_ after so many Years. And this being repeated for every
Year of the Person's Life, the Sum of all the present Values of those
Chances is the true Value of the Annuity. This will without doubt appear
to be a most laborious Calculation; but it being one of the principal
Uses of this Speculation, and having found some _Compendia_ for the
Work, I took the pains to compute the following Table, being the short
Result of a not ordinary number of Arithmetical Operations: It shews the
Value of Annuities for every Fifth Year of Age, to the Seventieth, as
follows.
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