There is a principle which Tocqueville never wearies of explaining, and
which has been subsumed by Mr. Herbert Spencer under that general law
common to all organic bodies which we call the Instability of the
Homogeneous. The various manifestations of this law, as shown in the
normal, regular revolutions and evolutions of the different forms of
government, {193a} are expounded with great clearness by Polybius, who
claimed for his theory in the Thucydidean spirit, that it is a [Greek],
not a mere [Greek], and that a knowledge of it will enable the impartial
observer {193b} to discover at any time what period of its constitutional
evolution any particular state has already reached and into what form it
will be next differentiated, though possibly the exact time of the
changes may be more or less uncertain. {193c}
Now in this necessarily incomplete account of the laws of political
revolutions as expounded by Polybius enough perhaps has been said to show
what is his true position in the rational development of the 'Idea' which
I have called the Philosophy of History, because it is the unifying of
history. Seen darkly as it is through the glass of religion in the pages
of Herodotus, more metaphysical than scientific with Thucydides, Plato
strove to seize it by the eagle-flight of speculation, to reach it with
the eager grasp of a soul impatient of those slower and surer inductive
methods which Aristotle, in his trenchant criticism of his great master,
showed were more brilliant than any vague theory, if the test of
brilliancy is truth.
What then is the position of Polybius? Does any new method remain for
him? Polybius was one of those many men who are born too late to be
original. To Thucydides belongs the honour of being the first in the
history of Greek thought to discern the supreme calm of law and order
underlying the fitful storms of life, and Plato and Aristotle each
represents a great new principle. To Polybius belongs the office--how
noble an office he made it his writings show--of making more explicit the
ideas which were implicit in his predecessors, of showing that they were
of wider applicability and perhaps of deeper meaning than they had seemed
before, of examining with more minuteness the laws which they had
discovered, and finally of pointing out more clearly than any one had
done the range of science and the means it offered for analysing the
present and predicting what was to come. His office thus was to gather
up what they had left, to give their principles new life by a wider
application.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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