Novum organon renovatum: Being the second part of the philosophy of the inductive sciencesWhewell, William
Philosophy
Novum organon renovatum: Being the second part of the philosophy of the inductive sciences
Whewell, William
Science -- Philosophy
5. In a _progressive_ series of numbers, unless the formula which we
adopt be really that which expresses the law of nature, the
deviations of the formula from the facts will generally become
enormous, when the experiments are extended into new parts of the
scale. True formulæ for a progressive series of results can hardly
ever be obtained from a very limited range of experiments: just as
the attempt to guess the general course of a road or a river, by
knowing two or three points of it in the neighbourhood of one
another, would generally fail. In the investigation respecting the
laws of the cooling of bodies just noticed, one great advantage of
the course pursued by the experimenters was, that their experiments
included so great a range of temperatures. The attempts to assign
the law of elasticity of steam deduced from experiments made with
moderate temperatures, were found to be enormously wrong, when very
high temperatures were made the subject of experiment. It is easy to
see that this must be so: an arithmetical and a geometrical series
may nearly coincide for a few terms moderately near each other: but
if we take remote corresponding terms in the two series, one of
these will be very many times the other. And hence, from a narrow
range of experiments, we may infer one of these series when we ought
to infer the other; and thus obtain a law which is widely erroneous.
6. In Astronomy, the series of observations which we have to study
are, for the most part, not progressive, but _recurrent_. The
numbers observed do not go on constantly increasing; but after
increasing up to a certain amount they diminish; then, after a
certain space, increase again; and so on, changing constantly
through certain _cycles_. In cases in which the observed numbers are
of this kind, the formula which expresses them must be a _circular
function_, of some sort or other; involving, for instance, sines,
tangents, and other forms of calculation, which have recurring
values when the angle on which they depend goes on constantly {200}
increasing. The main business of formal astronomy consists in
resolving the celestial phenomena into a series of _terms_ of this
kind, in detecting their _arguments_, and in determining their
_coefficients_.
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