Novum organon renovatum: Being the second part of the philosophy of the inductive sciencesWhewell, William
Philosophy
Novum organon renovatum: Being the second part of the philosophy of the inductive sciences
Whewell, William
Science -- Philosophy
Though we cannot give rules which will be of much service when we
have thus to divine the general form of the relation by which
phenomena are connected, there are certain methods by which, in a
narrower field, our investigations may be materially
promoted;--certain special methods of obtaining laws from
Observations. Of these we shall now proceed to treat.
{{202}}
CHAPTER VII.
SPECIAL METHODS OF INDUCTION APPLICABLE TO QUANTITY.
APHORISM XLIII.
_There are special Methods of Induction applicable to Quantity; of
which the principal are, the_ Method of Curves, _the_ Method of
Means, _the_ Method of Least Squares, _and the_ Method of Residues.
APHORISM XLIV.
The Method of Curves _consists in drawing a curve of which the
observed quantities are the Ordinates, the quantity on which the
change of these quantities depends being the Abscissa. The efficacy
of this Method depends upon the faculty which the eye possesses, of
readily detecting regularity and irregularity in forms. The Method
may be used to detect the Laws which the observed quantities follow:
and also, when the Observations are inexact, it may be used to
correct these Observations, so as to obtain data more true than the
observed facts themselves._
APHORISM XLV.
The Method of Means _gets rid of irregularities by taking the
arithmetical mean of a great number of observed quantities. Its
efficacy depends upon this; that in cases in which observed
quantities are affected by other inequalities, besides that of which
we wish to determine the law, the excesses_ above _and defects_
below _the quantities which the law in question would produce, will,
in a collection of_ many _observations_, balance _each other._ {203}
APHORISM XLVI.
The Method of Least Squares _is a Method of Means, in which the mean
is taken according to the condition, that the sum of the squares of
the errours of observation shall be the least possible which the law
of the facts allows. It appears, by the Doctrine of Chances, that
this is the_ most probable _mean._
APHORISM XLVII.
The Method of Residues _consists in subtracting, from the quantities
given by Observation, the quantity given by any Law already
discovered; and then examining the remainder, or_ Residue, _in order
to discover the leading Law which it follows. When this second Law
has been discovered, the quantity given by it may be subtracted from
the first Residue; thus giving a_ Second Residue, _which may be
examined in the same manner; and so on. The efficacy of this method
depends principally upon the circumstance of the Laws of variation
being successively smaller and smaller in amount (or at least in
their mean effect); so that the ulterior undiscovered Laws do not
prevent the Law in question from being_ prominent _in the
observations._
APHORISM XLVIII.
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