Novum organon renovatum: Being the second part of the philosophy of the inductive sciencesWhewell, William
Philosophy
Novum organon renovatum: Being the second part of the philosophy of the inductive sciences
Whewell, William
Science -- Philosophy
is nearly the same from year to year. And the same is the result
when the deviations arise, not from mere accident, but from laws
perfectly regular, though not contemplated in our
investigation[33\3]. Thus the effects of the Moon's Parallax upon
the Tides, sometimes operating one way and sometimes another,
according to certain rules, are quite eliminated by taking the Means
of a long series of observations; the excesses and defects
neutralizing each other, so far as concerns the effect upon any law
of the tides which we would investigate.
[Note 33\3: Provided the argument of the law which we neglect have
no coincidence with the argument of the law which we would
determine.]
11. In order to obtain very great accuracy, very large masses of
observations are often employed by philosophers, and the accuracy of
the result increases with the multitude of observations. The immense
collections of astronomical observations which have in this manner
been employed in order to form and correct the Tables of the
celestial motions are perhaps the most signal instances of the
attempts to obtain {214} accuracy by this accumulation of
observations. Delambre's Tables of the Sun are founded upon nearly
3000 observations; Burg's Tables of the Moon upon above 4000.
But there are other instances hardly less remarkable. Mr. Lubbock's
first investigations of the laws of the tides of London[34\3],
included above 13,000 observations, extending through nineteen
years; it being considered that this large number was necessary to
remove the effects of accidental causes[35\3]. And the attempts to
discover the laws of change in the barometer have led to the
performance of labours of equal amount: Laplace and Bouvard examined
this question by means of observations made at the Observatory of
Paris, four times every day for eight years.
[Note 34\3: _Phil. Trans._ 1831.]
[Note 35\3: This period of nineteen years was also selected for a
reason which is alluded to in a former note. It was thought that
this period secured the inquirer from the errours which might be
produced by the partial coincidence of the Arguments of different
irregularities; for example, those due to the moon's Parallax and to
the moon's Declination. It has since been found (_Phil. Tr._ 1838.
_On the Determination of the Laws of the Tides from Short Series of
Observations_), that with regard to Parallax at least, the Means of
one year give sufficient accuracy.]
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