Novum organon renovatum: Being the second part of the philosophy of the inductive sciencesWhewell, William
Philosophy
Novum organon renovatum: Being the second part of the philosophy of the inductive sciences
Whewell, William
Science -- Philosophy
7. Yet still, we may do something in tracing the process by which
such discoveries are made; and this it is here our business to do.
We may observe that these, and the like discoveries, are not
improperly described as happy _Guesses_; and that Guesses, in these
as in other instances, imply various suppositions made, of which
some one turns out to be the right one. We may, in such cases,
conceive the discoverer as inventing and trying many conjectures,
till he finds one which answers the purpose of combining the
scattered facts into a single rule. The discovery of general truths
from special facts is performed, commonly at least, and more
commonly than at first appears, by the use of a series of
Suppositions, or _Hypotheses_, which are looked at in quick
succession, and of which the one which really leads to truth is
rapidly detected, and when caught sight of, firmly held, verified,
and followed to its consequences. In the minds of most discoverers,
this process of invention, trial, and acceptance or rejection of the
hypothesis, goes on so rapidly that we cannot trace it in its
successive steps. But in some instances, we can do so; and we can
also see that the other examples of discovery do not differ
essentially from these. The same intellectual operations take place
in other cases, although this often happens so instantaneously that
we lose the trace of the {65} progression. In the discoveries made
by Kepler, we have a curious and memorable exhibition of this
process in its details. Thanks to his communicative disposition, we
know that he made nineteen hypotheses with regard to the motion of
Mars, and calculated the results of each, before he established the
true doctrine, that the planet's path is an ellipse. We know, in
like manner, that Galileo made wrong suppositions respecting the
laws of falling bodies, and Mariotte, concerning the motion of water
in a siphon, before they hit upon the correct view of these cases.
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