Novum organon renovatum: Being the second part of the philosophy of the inductive sciencesWhewell, William
Philosophy
Novum organon renovatum: Being the second part of the philosophy of the inductive sciences
Whewell, William
Science -- Philosophy
3. Hence in every inference by Induction, there is some Conception
_superinduced_ upon the Facts: and we may henceforth conceive this
to be the peculiar import of the term _Induction_. I am not to be
understood as asserting that the term was originally or anciently
employed with this notion of its meaning; for the peculiar feature
just pointed out in Induction has generally been overlooked. This
appears by the accounts generally given of Induction. 'Induction,'
says Aristotle[6\2], 'is when by means of one extreme term[7\2] we
infer the other extreme term to be true of the middle term.' Thus,
(to take such exemplifications as belong to our subject,) from
knowing that Mercury, Venus, Mars, describe ellipses about the Sun,
we infer that all Planets describe ellipses about the Sun. In making
this inference syllogistically, we assume that the evident
proposition, 'Mercury, Venus, Mars, do what all Planets do,' may be
taken _conversely_, 'All {75} Planets do what Mercury, Venus, Mars,
do.' But we may remark that, in this passage, Aristotle (as was
natural in his line of discussion) turns his attention entirely to
the _evidence_ of the inference; and overlooks a step which is of
far more importance to our knowledge, namely, the _invention_ of the
second extreme term. In the above instance, the particular
luminaries, Mercury, Venus, Mars, are one logical _Extreme_; the
general designation Planets is the _Middle Term_; but having these
before us, how do we come to think of _description of ellipses_,
which is the other Extreme of the syllogism? When we have once
invented this 'second Extreme Term,' we may, or may not, be
satisfied with the evidence of the syllogism; we may, or may not, be
convinced that, so far as this property goes, the extremes are
co-extensive with the middle term[8\2]; but the _statement_ of the
syllogism is the important step in science. We know how long Kepler
laboured, how hard he fought, how many devices he tried, before he
hit upon this _Term_, the Elliptical Motion. He rejected, as we
know, many other 'second extreme Terms,' for example, various
combinations of epicyclical constructions, because they did not
represent with sufficient accuracy the special facts of observation.
When he had established his premiss, that 'Mars does describe an
Ellipse about the Sun,' he does not hesitate to _guess_ at least
that, in this respect, he might _convert_ the other premiss, and
assert that 'All the Planets do what Mars does.' But the main
business was, the inventing and verifying the proposition respecting
the Ellipse. The Invention of the Conception was the great step in
the _discovery_; the Verification of the Proposition was the great
step in the _proof_ of the discovery. If Logic consists in pointing
out the conditions of proof, the Logic of Induction must consist in
showing what are the conditions of proof, in such inferences as
this: but this subject must be pursued in the next chapter; I now
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