On the Connexion of the Physical SciencesSomerville, Mary
Science
On the Connexion of the Physical Sciences
Somerville, Mary
Physical sciences; Science
However, the values of the elements determined separately can only be
regarded as approximate, because they are so connected that the
estimation of any one independently will induce errors in the others.
The excentricity depends upon the longitude of the perihelion, the mean
motion depends upon the major axis, the longitude of the node upon the
inclination of the orbit, and _vice versâ_. Consequently, the place of a
planet computed with the approximate data will differ from its observed
place. Then the difficulty is to ascertain what elements are most in
fault, since the difference in question is the error of all; that is
obviated by finding the errors of some thousands of observations, and
combining them, so as to correct the elements simultaneously, and to
make the sum of the squares of the errors a minimum with regard to each
element (N. 138). The method of accomplishing this depends upon the
Theory of Probabilities; a subject fertile in most important results in
the various departments of science and of civil life, and quite
indispensable in the determination of astronomical data. A series of
observations continued for some years will give approximate values of
the secular and periodic inequalities, which must be corrected from time
to time, till theory and observation agree. And these again will give
values of the masses of the bodies forming the solar system, which are
important data in computing their motions. The periodic inequalities
derived from a great number of observations are employed for the
determination of the values of the masses till such time as the secular
inequalities shall be perfectly known, which will then give them with
all the necessary precision. When all these quantities are determined in
numbers, the longitude, latitude, and distance of the planet from the
sun are computed for stated intervals, and formed into tables, arranged
according to the time estimated from a given epoch, so that the place of
the body may be determined from them by inspection alone, at any instant
for perhaps a thousand years before and after that epoch. By this
tedious process, tables have been computed for all the great planets,
and several of the small, besides the moon and the satellites of
Jupiter. In the present state of astronomy the masses and elements of
the orbits are pretty well known, so that the tables only require to be
corrected from time to time as observations become more accurate. Those
containing the motions of Jupiter, Saturn, and Uranus have already been
twice constructed within the last thirty years, and the tables of
Jupiter and Saturn agree almost perfectly with modern observation. The
following prediction will be found in the sixth edition of this book,
published in the year 1842: “Those of Uranus, however, are already
defective, probably because the discovery of that planet in 1781 is too
recent to admit of much precision in the determination of its motions,
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