Our Nuclear Future: Facts, Dangers and OpportunitiesTeller, Edward
Science
Our Nuclear Future: Facts, Dangers and Opportunities
Teller, Edward
Nuclear energy -- Popular works; Nuclear weapons; Radioactivity -- Physiological effect
We have been talking about the problem of handling the by-products of
nuclear power. This problem will not appear in proper proportion unless
we also give some thought to the by-products of the kind of power we are
using at present.
That we do not like smoke and smog is obvious. To what extent these
residues of incomplete burning can cause cancer or other damage we do
not know. Chemistry is more tricky than radiation. Our lack of knowledge
about the slow biological effects of chemicals is much greater than our
remaining uncertainties about radiation.
In addition to the obvious annoyance and worry caused by the products of
incomplete combustion there exists an interesting question connected
with the result of complete combustion. The carbon that has been
deposited through the geologic ages as coal and as oil is being used up
gradually and converted to a colorless, odorless, harmless gas—carbon
dioxide. There is always some carbon dioxide in our atmosphere. The
amount is approximately 300 parts per million of common air. All the
carbon that has been burned since the beginning of the industrial
revolution could have increased the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere by
ten per cent to the value of 330 parts per million.
This increase could be significant. Carbon dioxide acts like a blanket
or a valve for some kinds of radiation. In the daytime we receive energy
in the form of visible light from the sun. This form of radiation has no
difficulty in penetrating the carbon dioxide gas. However, the incoming
radiation is balanced by invisible heat radiation, which flows out from
the earth into space day and night. This infrared radiation is quite
similar in nature to light, only our eyes are not sensitive to it. Now
the carbon dioxide gas acts like a barrier, though only a partially
effective barrier, to this outgoing heat radiation. If the carbon
dioxide content of our atmosphere were to increase too greatly, it would
act like the glass in a greenhouse and our climate would grow warmer.
A ten per cent increase in the carbon dioxide content of the atmosphere
should have produced an observable rise in temperature. Such a
temperature rise has not, in fact, been observed. The reason is that not
all the carbon dioxide which has been generated in the processes of
combustion has actually remained in the atmosphere. Most of it has found
its way into the great reservoir of our oceans. Some of it is deposited
as lime at the bottom of the oceans. However, some time is required for
the carbon dioxide to be removed from the atmosphere and to reach the
oceans. One would expect, therefore, that there would have been at least
a slight increase in the carbon dioxide content of the atmosphere.
Measurements show that this is the case and that the increase is about
two per cent—which is too small to have changed our climate.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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