Our Nuclear Future: Facts, Dangers and OpportunitiesTeller, Edward
Science
Our Nuclear Future: Facts, Dangers and Opportunities
Teller, Edward
Nuclear energy -- Popular works; Nuclear weapons; Radioactivity -- Physiological effect
We may summarize in this way. Our knowledge of the effects from the
fallout is deficient. We cannot say exactly how many lives may be
impaired or shortened. On the other hand, our knowledge is sufficient to
state that the fallout effect is below the statistically observable
limit. It is also considerably less than the effect produced by moving
from sea level to an elevated location like Denver, where cosmic
radiation has a greater intensity. It is also less than having a chest
X-ray every year. In other words, we know enough to state positively
that the danger from the world-wide fallout is less than many other
radiation effects which have not worried people and do not worry them
now.
We have compared radiation from the fallout with radiation from other
sources. It is also possible and helpful to compare the fallout danger
with different kinds of dangers. For this purpose it is convenient to
express all dangers in terms of a reduced life-expectancy. For example,
smoking one pack of cigarettes a day seems to cut one’s life-expectancy
by about 9 years. This is equivalent to 15 minutes per cigarette. That
cigarettes are this harmful is, of course, not known with certainty. It
is a “best guess,” due to Dr. Hardin Jones, based on an analysis of
statistical data. A number of Dr. Jones’ statistical findings are listed
in the following table:[13]
_Reduced
Life
Expectancy_
Being 10 per cent overweight 1.5 years
Smoking one pack of cigarettes a day 9 years
Living in the city instead of the country 5 years
Remaining unmarried 5 years
Having a sedentary job instead of one involving exercise 5 years
Being of the male sex 3 years
Automobile accidents 1 year
One roentgen of radiation 5 to 10 days
The world-wide fallout (lifetime dose at present level) 1 to 2 days
The reader will see that the world-wide fallout is as dangerous as being
an ounce overweight or smoking one cigarette every two months.
[Illustration: How people get radiation
Average dose in roentgens per year]
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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