Our Nuclear Future: Facts, Dangers and OpportunitiesTeller, Edward
Science
Our Nuclear Future: Facts, Dangers and Opportunities
Teller, Edward
Nuclear energy -- Popular works; Nuclear weapons; Radioactivity -- Physiological effect
Unfortunately much of the discussion about continued experimentation
with nuclear explosives has been carried out in a most emotional and
confused manner. One argument concerning tests is so fantastic that it
deserves to be mentioned for that very reason: It has been claimed that
nuclear explosions may change the axis of the earth.
Of course, nuclear explosions do produce such changes. Only the changes
are so small that they are impossible to observe and even difficult to
estimate. Searching for effects connected with past tests that may
displace the axis of the earth, or the position of the North Pole, we
could find no effect that would have caused a change of position even as
great as the size of an atom. One could design tests with the specific
purpose to produce such a change, but these man-made effects could not
be compared even remotely with the forces of nature. The motion of the
Gulf Stream has a small effect on the North Pole; but this effect is
incomparably greater than what any nuclear explosion could accomplish.
It is good to know that the old top on which we live does have some
stability.
The argument about world-wide radioactive fallout is more serious. It is
asserted that fallout is dangerous and that we are ignorant of the
extent of the danger.
In a narrow, literal sense both these statements are correct. But in the
preceding chapters we have seen that the danger is limited. We do not
know precisely how great it is. We do know, however, that the danger is
considerably smaller than the danger from other radiations to which we
continue to expose ourselves without worry. The danger from the tests is
quite small compared with the effects of X-rays used in medical
practice. The fallout produces only a fraction of the increase in cosmic
ray effect to which a person subjects himself when he moves from the
seashore to a place of higher altitude like Colorado. People may or may
not be damaged by the fallout. But it is quite certain that the damage
is far below a level of which we usually take notice.
Fallout in the vicinity of the test sites did cause damage. In the past
this damage was not great although in one Pacific test it was serious.
Precautions have been increased and we may hope that future accidents
will be avoided altogether. The safety record of the Atomic Energy
Commission compares favorably with other enterprises of similar scale.
It seems probable that the root of the opposition to further tests is
not connected with fallout. The root is deeper. The real reason against
further tests is connected with our desire for disarmament and for
peace.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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