(144.) But when the cause of a phenomenon neither presents itself
obviously on the consideration of the phenomenon itself, nor is as it
were forced on our attention by a case of strong analogy, such as above
described, we have then no resource but in a deliberate assemblage of
all the parallel instances we can muster; that is, to the formation
of a class of facts, having the phenomenon in question for a head of
classification; and to a search among the individuals of this class
for some other common points of agreement, among which the cause will
of necessity be found. But if more than one cause should appear, we
must then endeavour to find, or, if we cannot find, to _produce, new
facts_, in which each of these in succession shall be wanting, while
yet they agree in the general point in question. Here we find the use
of what Bacon terms “_crucial instances_,” which are phenomena brought
forward to decide between two causes, each having the same analogies in
its favour. And here, too, we perceive the utility of _experiment_ as
distinguished from mere passive observation. We make an experiment of
the crucial kind when we form combinations, and put in action causes
from which some particular one shall be deliberately excluded, and
some other purposely admitted; and by the agreement or disagreement of
the resulting phenomena with those of the class under examination, we
decide our judgment.
(145.) When we would lay down general rules for guiding and
facilitating our search, among a great mass of assembled facts, for
their common cause, we must have regard to the characters of that
relation which we intend by cause and effect. Now, these are,--
1st, Invariable connection, and, in particular, invariable
antecedence of the cause and consequence of the effect, unless
prevented by some counteracting cause. But it must be observed,
that, in a great number of natural phenomena, the effect is
produced gradually, while the cause often goes on increasing in
intensity; so that the antecedence of the one and consequence
of the other becomes difficult to trace, though it really
exists. On the other hand, the effect often follows the cause
so instantaneously, that the interval cannot be perceived. In
consequence of this, it is sometimes difficult to decide, of two
phenomena constantly accompanying one another, which is cause or
which effect.
2d, Invariable negation of the effect with absence of the cause,
unless some other cause be capable of producing the same effect.
3d, Increase or diminution of the effect, with the increased
or diminished intensity of the cause, in cases which admit of
increase and diminution.
4th, Proportionality of the effect to its cause in all cases of
_direct unimpeded_ action.
5th, Reversal of the effect with that of the cause.
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