Professor Poulton refers to the argument used by Lord Salisbury,
in his address at the Oxford meeting, on the insufficiency of time
for the requirements of the Darwinian evolution. He then discusses
the estimates based by Lord Kelvin and Professor Tait on physical
considerations, and dismisses them as altogether inadequate, though
he admits that Professor George Darwin agrees with Lord Kelvin in
regarding 500 millions of years as the maximum duration of the life of
the sun.
He next takes up the estimates of geologists, and rather blames as too
modest those who ask for the longest time, say 400 millions of years,
for the duration of the habitable earth. He evidently scarcely deems
worthy of notice the more moderate demands of many eminent students of
the earth, who have based far lower estimates on more or less reliable
data of denudation and deposition, and on the thickness of deposits in
connection with their probable geographical extent.
He then proceeds to consider the biological evidence, and dwells on
the number of distinct types represented as far back as the Lower
Cambrian. Independently of the interpretations and explanations
of this great fact, the numerous types there represented, and the
persistence of some of them to the present day, give an almost
overwhelming impression of the vast duration of organisms in time. In
connection with the supposed slow and gradual process of evolution,
this naturally leads to the conclusion that "the whole period in which
the fossiliferous rocks were laid down must be multiplied several times
for this later history (that of the higher groups of animals alone).
The period thus obtained requires to be again increased, and perhaps
doubled for the earlier history." Ordinary geologists naturally stand
aghast at such demands, and inquire if they are seriously put forth,
and if it would not be wise to hesitate before accepting a theory on
behalf of which such drafts on time must be made. The late Edward
Forbes once humorously defined a geologist to be "an amiable enthusiast
who is happy and content if you will give him any quantity of that
which other men least value, namely, past time." But had this great
naturalist lived to "post-Darwinian" times, he might have defined a
Darwinian biologist to be an insatiable enthusiast, who feels himself
aggrieved if not supplied with infinity itself, wherein to carry on
the processes of his science. Seriously however, the necessity for
indefinitely protracted time does not arise from the facts, but from
the attempt to explain the facts without any adequate cause, and to
appeal to an infinite series of chance interactions apart from a
designed plan, and without regard to the consideration, that we know of
no way in which, with any conceivable amount of time, the first living
and organized beings could be spontaneously produced from dead matter.
It is this last difficulty which really blocks the way, and leads to
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