Rough Ways Made Smooth: A series of familiar essays on scientific subjectsProctor, Richard A. (Richard Anthony)
Science
Rough Ways Made Smooth: A series of familiar essays on scientific subjects
Proctor, Richard A. (Richard Anthony)
Science
severally displayed at each, agreeing also with each other so closely
that ten or twelve seconds would cover the entire range between their
several mean times. If this were observed, we should not hesitate to
place entire reliance on these special sets of clocks; and we should
feel certain that if we took the mean of all their means as the true
time (perhaps slightly modifying this mean in order to give due weight
to the known superiority of one or other of these clock-shops), we
should not be in error by more than five or six seconds, while most
probably we should have the time true within two or three seconds.
So far the illustration corresponds well with what had been done during
a quarter of a century or so before the last transit of Venus. Several
different methods of determining the sun's distance had been applied to
correct a value which for many reasons had come to be looked upon with
suspicion. This value--95,365,000 miles--was known to be certainly too
large. The methods used to test it gave results varying between about
90 million miles and about 96 million miles. But all the methods worthy
of any real reliance gave results lying between 91 million miles and
94 million miles. Not to enter more fully into details than would here
be suitable, we may pass on at once to say that those most experienced
in the matter recognised seven methods of determining the distance, on
which chief reliance must be placed. Of these seven methods, six--each
applied, of course, by many different observers--were dealt with
exhaustively by Professor Newcomb, of the Washington Observatory, a
mathematician who has undoubtedly given closer attention to the general
problem of determining the sun's distance than any living astronomer.
The six methods give six several results ranging from about 92,250,000
miles to about 92,850,000 miles; but when due weight is given to those
of the six methods which are undoubtedly the best, the most probable
mean value is found to be about 92,350,000 miles. The seventh method,
conceived by Leverrier, the astronomer to whom, with our own Adams,
the discovery of Neptune was due, and applied by him as he only could
have applied it (he alone possessing at once the necessary material and
the necessary skill), gives the value, 92,250,000 miles. From this it
may fairly be concluded that Newcomb's mean value, which has in fact
been accented by all American and Continental astronomers, is certainly
within 600,000 miles, and most probably within 300,000 miles of the
true mean distance of the sun.
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