Rural Wealth and Welfare: Economic Principles Illustrated and Applied in Farm LifeFairchild, Geo. T. (George Thompson)
Science
Rural Wealth and Welfare: Economic Principles Illustrated and Applied in Farm Life
Fairchild, Geo. T. (George Thompson)
Agriculture -- Economic aspects; Economics
People who are counting their future gains are sure to have larger wants,
and their seeming prosperity in accumulation of value gives them a larger
credit among dealers. The next step is an enlargement of sales of current
supplies of all sorts and an increasing manufacture of such supplies to
meet the increasing wants and naturally enhancing price. Soon the staple
products of farms and factories and mines become themselves objects of
speculative purchase. Men buy simply to hold for the increase in price.
This speculation itself is a temporary cause of success, and goes on until
some accident somewhere reveals the exaggerated proportions of
expectation. Sometimes this speculative spirit continues for a series of
years, in which case it pervades every circle of producers and consumers.
Sometimes it is temporary and local, being produced by some special
undertaking and destroyed by a special failure. Sometimes the death of an
enterprising man destroys the "boom" he has created. When speculation is
rife over a large territory, everybody is employed to his utmost ability,
and the times are said to be good. All property of every kind is counted
at its highest price in the mind of the owner, and all credits are easily
extended from month to month, or from year to year, because of the
universal faith. There seems to the casual observer no reason for doubt,
and the most conservative judges overestimate the ability of the people.
_Financial crisis._—At such a time as that described, when credits of
every kind are interlocked and expectations are high, the so-called
floating capital of the country, under indefinite promises to pay, is
gradually being actually locked up in huge plants of machinery in great
railroad routes, in vacant city lots, and uncultivated farms held for
future sale, or in warehouses and elevators full of the products of
industry,—especially such products as do not immediately deteriorate in
quality, such as grains, cloths, raw materials of every kind and machinery
of general use. This is apparently the property of the holders, but
against it are the claims of all those who have contributed by loans on
time, by credit for sales, by labor unpaid for and by provisions on
account. One can easily see that with all these people bound together by
credit a single failure may be far-reaching in its effects. The inability
of a single man to meet his promises, if those promises are widely enough
distributed, may bring a panic among his creditors, their creditors, and
so on down to even the solid men, supposed to hold the accumulation of
years untouched by speculation. For every channel of trade is full of
credit, which now everybody loses.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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