Senescence, the Last Half of LifeHall, G. Stanley (Granville Stanley)
Science
Senescence, the Last Half of Life
Hall, G. Stanley (Granville Stanley)
Geriatrics
Director Sam L. Rogers of the Bureau of the Census published tables
of vitality statistics[120] to show expectation of life at all ages
for the population of New England, New York, New Jersey, Indiana,
Michigan, and the District of Columbia (these being the mortality
death registration states) on the basis of the population in 1910
and the mortality for three years. They are like life tables of
insurance companies with the exception that they are based on the whole
population. According to these tables the average expectation of life
for males at birth is 49.9 years; for females, 52.2. Expectation of
white males reaches its maximum at the age of 2 (57.7 years). At the
age of 12, it is 59.2 years; at 25, 39.4; at 40, 28.3; at 50, 21.2;
at 60, 14.6; at 70, 9.1; at 80, 5.2 years. During the first month of
life the death rate of native white boys is nearly 28 per cent higher
than that for girls. The twelfth year seems to be the healthiest for
the native whites and thereafter there is continuous increase in the
death rate. Expectation of life is not the same as saying that a man
has an even chance of living that number of years, because expectation
represents the average remaining length of life at any given age in
a stationary population. A native white male child at birth has one
chance in two of reaching sixty. At the end of his first year he has
more than an even chance of reaching sixty-four. At forty-two he has an
even chance of attaining seventy. At all ages women live longer than
men and expectation in the country at all ages is distinctly greater
than in the city.
R. Henderson’s work[121] sets forth the theoretical relations with
reference to the duration of human life, describing those mortality
tables that have had the greatest influence on the development of the
science of life contingency and its applications in this country. The
author establishes a connection between mortality tables and mortality
statistics and tells how to interpret the latter. The methods of
constructing mortality tables from census and death returns and from
insurance experience are then taken up. The writer deals only with life
contingencies and not at all with monetary applications and gives us a
new table. “The present value of a sum of money payable at death cannot
be properly calculated in assuming it to be payable at the end of a
definite period equal to the expectation of life.” Nor can the present
value of a life annuity be calculated by assuming it to be certainly
payable for that period.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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