A review of the previous discussion of these elements (Chapter
IV) may be very helpful in connection with this comparison. As
to freedom of action, for example, the commander may ask
himself which course is best from the standpoint of using the
initiative to advantage; and which course of action lends
itself best to the advantageous use of surprise. As the
commander reflects on these matters, other similar questions
may be suggested.
(c) Utilization of Own Strength and Exploitation of Enemy
Weakness. In his original visualization of each course of
action, the commander has naturally considered how to utilize
his own strength to best advantage, and how best to exploit
enemy weakness. In fact, especially in a detailed tactical
estimate, these considerations may have been predominant in
envisaging the courses of action. A careful evaluation of the
merits of each course of action in this respect is accordingly
necessary before a choice is made.
With regard to acceptability of consequences as to costs, the
commander considers the following:
(1) General. The process of putting a course of action to
proof as a tentative solution of the problem remains
incomplete until the course has been tested to determine its
consequences as to costs, so far as these can be visualized
in advance. The process involves an evaluation of the
diminution in total advantage which will result in the event
of failure, and a comparison of gains with losses in the
event of success. The situation to be expected, if the course
of action is carried out, is visualized in order to determine
the future effect on the creation or maintenance of an
ultimately favorable military situation.
In testing each course of action for acceptability as to its
consequences (page 31), the commander considers the cost of
success, the cost of failure, and the possible gain and loss
in perspective with the united effort as a whole. Questions
which he may pose include: If the course of action is
successful, will the costs be so prohibitive as to adversely
affect the successful accomplishment of the further effort? If
a tactical situation is under consideration, will the costs
prevent the accomplishment of the strategical aim? If the
course of action fails, what will be its effect? Will it cause
the entire plan to fail? Will its failure affect, for example,
the national morale?
If the command--and ultimately the State--can afford the
losses and other disadvantages which will be incurred as a
result of either the success or the failure of the
contemplated effort, a course of action may be considered as
acceptable from the standpoint of consequences as to costs.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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