The binding of the Nile and the new SoudanPeel, Sidney Cornwallis
History
The binding of the Nile and the new Soudan
Peel, Sidney Cornwallis
Irrigation -- Egypt; Nile River; Sudan (Region)
Such words coming from Lord Cromer are full of hope and encouragement
for the administrators of the Soudan. The man who found means to
overcome the financial difficulties of the Reservoir works at Assouan
is more than likely to surmount those of the Suakin-Berber Railway.
In the long-run Egypt herself will benefit as well as the Soudan. Of
course, most of the trade now passing through Egypt will return
to its natural channel by Suakin and the Red Sea. The Customs
now taken at Alexandria will go directly to the Soudan, but as
soon as this happens a corresponding reduction can be made in the
Egyptian contribution. Nor will purely Egyptian trade with the Soudan
suffer. The Nile Valley route will remain, but it will be cheaper for
goods from Lower Egypt to travel via Suez and Suakin. The import as
well as the export trade of the Soudan will be vastly encouraged, and
every step forward in prosperity will make her a better market for the
goods of Egypt as well as those of other countries. Once the railway
is made, but not till then, there is a possibility of the revenues of
the Soudan improving sufficiently to make the country self-supporting,
and able to dispense entirely with any annual grant from Egypt.
It is calculated that the construction of the new railway will cost
£2,500,000. Taking this as a basis, and assuming that Egypt was
able to make an arrangement under which the money should be repaid by
annual instalments over a period of ten years, with interest at 5 per
cent., it would involve an average annual addition to her expenditure
of £318,750, or a total cost of ten times that sum. If the period
was twenty years, the average annual cost would be £185,625, or, say,
£200,000. It is rash for an outsider to speculate on such subjects,
and the figures are merely given as a rough illustration; but it
seems certain that Egypt could easily bear any such burden. Nor does
it appear a sanguine forecast to estimate that within ten years of
the completion of the railway the revenues of the Soudan will have
so greatly benefited, both by the direct cheapening of supplies,
fuel, and other material, and by the development of trade generally,
that at least a saving of £200,000 a year will accrue to Egypt,
even if she still finds it prudent to contribute something.
What future capital Egypt will have to find must be uncertain. The
whole situation will be changed by the advent of the railway. But if
all the signs of the times can be trusted, whatever her expenditure
may be, she will have no reason to repent of it.
NOTE.—Since the above was in print, new light has been thrown on
the subject by a passage in the Note on the Budget for 1904 by Sir
Eldon Gorst, Financial Adviser to the Khedive:
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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