The Campaign of Waterloo: A Military History: Third EditionRopes, John Codman
History
The Campaign of Waterloo: A Military History: Third Edition
Ropes, John Codman
Napoleon I, Emperor of the French, 1769-1821 -- Elba and the Hundred Days, 1814-1815; Waterloo, Battle of, Waterloo, Belgium, 1815
For it was a perfectly possible thing that he might the next morning
be assailed by a hundred thousand men. Blücher had, no doubt, sent him
the information obtained by Groeben, that Napoleon had detached only
12,000 or 15,000 men to follow the Prussians, and was bringing against
the Anglo-Dutch army all his remaining troops.[544] As we see it now,
that would have been Napoleon’s best course. If he had known the facts
at the time, as he might easily have done had he not neglected to take
the proper measures to ascertain them, that is what he probably would
have done. At any rate, Wellington had no assurance from any quarter
whatever that Napoleon would not do exactly that thing. If Napoleon
had done it, and if the weather had been fine and the ground hard,
what chance would Wellington have stood? The question is asked simply
to define the situation in which the Duke placed himself on the night
of the 17th and 18th. That is, we desire to bring out the fact that
Wellington in taking up position at Waterloo, instead of continuing
his retreat to Brussels and arranging with Blücher to do the like
from Wavre, ran a very great risk of being beaten before he could get
help from the Prussians, whereas if both commanders had proceeded to
Brussels, where the roads from Waterloo and Wavre converge, they would
have greatly outnumbered the French. This course was the one which
Napoleon maintained would have been the safer and wiser.[545]
Still, it must be remembered that both Wellington and Blücher were
anxious to close the campaign with a great battle, which was certain to
take place if Wellington stood at Waterloo, and that it was by no means
certain that Napoleon would push through the forest of Soignes only
to find the combined armies confronting him. They also thought that
there was a very fair chance that they would succeed in effecting the
union of their armies at Waterloo.
FOOTNOTES:
[513] _Ante_, p. 159.
[514] Ollech, p. 157.
[515] He could not at this time communicate with Thielemann and Bülow.
[516] Gneisenau, vol. 4, p. 385; Ollech, p. 156.
[517] Ollech, p. 157. Maurice (pp. 354, 355: July, 1890) points out
that this serves, as far as it goes, to show that Napoleon might have
known of the retreat of Zieten and Pirch I. to Wavre without changing
his opinion that the whole Prussian army was intending to fall back to
the eastward.
[518] Damitz, p. 143.
[519] This is Ollech’s opinion (p. 156): “Thus had Gneisenau broken all
bridges behind him, given up all communication with the Rhine, that he
might once again offer the hand to the English for a common blow which
should forever overthrow the French forces.” But this is surely going
too far. Communication with the Rhine could be maintained as well by
way of Maestricht as by way of Liége.
[520] _Ante_, pp. 151, 204. _Cf._ Gneisenau, vol. 4, p. 386
[521] Gneisenau, vol. 4, p. 386.
[522] Ollech, p. 156; Gneisenau, vol. 4, p. 385.
[523] Müffling: Passages, p. 212.
[524] _Ante_, p. 106.
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