The Chautauquan, Vol. 05, January 1885, No. 4Chautauqua Literary and Scientific Circle
Religion
The Chautauquan, Vol. 05, January 1885, No. 4
Chautauqua Literary and Scientific Circle
Chautauqua Institution -- Periodicals; Chautauqua Literary and Scientific Circle -- Periodicals
It is often disagreeable to admit a plain truth, and there are truths
which one may safely admit in private which have an almost incendiary
character when printed. To admit in private that the commercial outlook
is not good costs nothing; to print the fact and prove it is to run the
risk of aggravating the causes of the unpromising condition of affairs.
The public is like a patient whose chance of recovery depends upon his
not knowing his critical condition. If his nerves get to playing around
that danger, they may drag him into it. To state in printed words that
the times are bad and growing worse might be to tell a truth; but it
would tend to produce the worse times. This is the reason why editors
are either silent, or even lie a little, in seasons of financial
and commercial depression. But it is also true that in our present
circumstances there are unpleasant things which admit of mitigation, and
even of radical cure; and it is perhaps wiser to state what most of us
know and suggest the remedies for an evil case.
It is known that the wages of laboring men and clerks all over the
country are being cut down. It is probably within the mark to say that
seven millions of wage-earners (of all classes) will receive in 1885 an
average of ten per cent. less compensation for their services than they
received in 1884. Assuming a very low average for the old wages, $1.25
per day, the total reduction in wages for the year will amount to more
than $260,000,000. This amount will of course be taken from the net total
of trade. The workmen and clerks will buy two hundred and sixty million
dollars worth less of goods in 1885. The reduction will be dispersed over
a large area, but it will not spread into a thinness which will render it
impalpable. Nor does the reduction end with the workmen. All the persons
of whom workmen buy manufactured goods will buy less for their own
consumption—they also will have less to buy with. This class is a very
large one, and there are few of us who do not belong in it—are not in
some way dependent on workmen for patronage. To say that all these will
reduce their annual purchases two hundred and sixty millions, carrying
the reduction up to five hundred and twenty millions, is probably within
the mark. We may as well consider in this connection the reductions
in the price of farm products, another great drain on the volume of
trade. Agricultural products are worth at most ten per cent. less than
in 1883. The effect of the reduction in prices of farm products acts
more disastrously on trade, since farmers usually double their caution.
They will not merely buy ten per cent. less; they will buy as little
as possible. Old clothes, old wagons, old tools, will be kept in use,
and it may be within the mark to say that the loss of farmers’ trade of
all sorts will amount to as much as all the others—to five hundred and
twenty millions more. One thousand and forty millions taken off from the
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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