The Coming Ice AgeTaber, C. A. M. (Charles Austin Mendell)
Science
The Coming Ice Age
Taber, C. A. M. (Charles Austin Mendell)
Glacial epoch
The statements made by General Cowell in _Science_ of Nov. 25, 1892, in
reference to the alleged discovery of the second rotation of the earth
by Major-general Drayson, represents the discovery as affording a new
solution for the cause or causes of an ice age.
The second rotation as defined consists in the pole of the heavens
describing a circle around a point which is ascertained to be
situated six degrees distant from the pole of the ecliptic. And it
is asserted that by a knowledge of the second rotation it is proved
that a variation of twelve degrees in the extent of the arctic circle
and the tropics occurred not later than 13,500 B.C., “the tropics
varying in distance from the equator from the minimum of 23° 25′
47″ to the maximum of 35° 25′ 47″, thus extending the torrid zone
during its widest expansion from Cape Hatteras to the river Plate....
It is calculated that at this date we are about 403 years distant
from the time when the pole of the heavens in its revolution, the
pole of the ecliptic and that of the second rotation, will be in
the same colure,--that is, in the year 2,295 A.D.; and then the
least differences in temperature between summer and winter will be
experienced. From that time forward this difference will increase, and
about 6,000 years later, or about the year 8,300 A.D., the earth will
enter the next glacial period, and attain its greatest severity about
the year 18,136 of our era.” General Cowell does not state how the
widening of the tropical zone, as above set forth, would bring about
a glacial period. The winters of the temperate zones would evidently
be colder than now; but, on the other hand, the summers would be
proportionally warmer, while the westerly winds above the latitudes of
40° would prevail the same as now.
Therefore, their general effect on the surface waters of the ocean
in the high latitudes would not be changed with such an extension of
the tropical zone, neither would the trade winds change their general
direction with a wider torrid zone; yet the boundaries of the trade
winds and also the westerly winds would be more shifting according to
the declination of the sun, such winds being governed as now by the
position of the sun during the summer and winter solstice. Yet the
natural process for moving tropical water into the high latitudes, or
excluding it therefrom, would not be greatly changed.
Consequently, the expansion of the torrid zone to the latitudes named
by General Drayson would not affect the climate of the hemispheres
sufficiently to cause a frigid epoch. On the contrary, the summer
monsoons, which now blow from the north-east, along the shores of
Eastern Africa, and also along the coast of Southern Brazil, would be
much stronger with a vertical sun in midsummer as far south as river
Plate, thus forcing the surface waters of the tropical oceans into the
higher latitudes with greater facility than at this age.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
Reviews
Reviews
No reviews yet
Be the first to share your thoughts on this work.
Elsewhere in the archive
Join the Discussion
Join the discussion
Sign in to leave a comment or review.
Sign InorCreate an account