In examining the price movements of wheat and corn for the last ten
years, a gradually advancing trend is apparent. That such would be
the case was a foregone conclusion; we naturally expect to find wheat
and corn in the foremost ranks of a universal movement towards higher
prices. The underlying causes for this general appreciation have
already been extensively and clearly discussed in Moody’s Magazine.
[5] Reprinted from MOODY’S MAGAZINE of May, 1906.
_All Prices Advancing._
The price appreciation of wheat and corn is merely confirmatory of
the theory that all prices are advancing, and that they will continue
to advance until the balance between gold and other commodities is
readjusted.
But there is something else written between the lines of the statistics
of price changes in wheat and corn. The _relative_ advance of the two
cereals is all out of proportion.
This fact leads us to seek for some specific cause operating either to
depress one cereal or enhance the other, irrespective of the influence
already named.
The figures for the last ten years are as follows:
WHEAT.
Year High Average Low
1896 94⅜ 73¹¹/₁₆ 53
1897 109 86⁹/₁₆ 64⅛
1898 185 123½ 62
1899 79½ 71¾ 64
1900 87½ 74½ 61½
1901 79½ 71⁵/₁₆ 63⅛
1902 95 81¼ 67½
1903 93 81¾ 70¼
1904 122 101¹⁰/₁₆ 81¼
1905 124 100¹⁵/₁₆ 77⅞
1906 94¾ 81⅞ 69⅛
CORN.
Year High Average Low
1896 30⅝ 25¹/₁₆ 19½
1897 32⅝ 27³/₁₆ 21¾
1898 38 32 26
1899 38⅛ 34¹/₁₆ 30
1900 49½ 40 30½
1901 67½ 51¾ 36
1902 88 65⅞ 43¾
1903 53 47 41
1904 58⅛ 50⁷/₁₆ 42¾
1905 64½ 53¼ 42
1906 54¾ 46¾ 39
The average price of wheat in the first year (1896) was 73 ¹¹/₁₆ in
standard format, in the two following years very high prices were
established, and the average may be considered abnormal, as the years
1897 and 1898 cover the rise and fall of Joseph Leiter.
[Illustration: FLUCTUATIONS OF WHEAT PRICES FOR TEN YEARS.
(The rims of the circles touch the high and low prices of wheat each
year for 10 years.)
Reproduced, by permission, from MOODY’S MAGAZINE of August, 1906.]
To digress for a moment, it may be interesting to note that efforts
to carry prices beyond reasonable limits almost invariably result in
disaster to the promoters, no matter how far they may be successful
in establishing black-board quotations. With the exception of “Old
Hutch” wheat corner in 1888, all the numerous attempts to speculate
successfully on wholly artificial prices in commodities, have failed.
The Sully cotton campaign, the Leiter wheat deal, the Phillips corn
deal, the Coster-Martin corn deal, all ended in ruin for their sponsors.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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