Extent in Extent in
Industrials Rails Duration
Date of Reaction Points Points Days
Jan. 27 to Feb. 24, ’04 3.79 4.17 29
Apr. 7 to May 18 2.55 4.03 42
Dec. 5 to Dec. 12 7.46 5.93 8
Apr. 14, ’05, to May 8, ’05 9.23 9.81 25
May 12 to May 22 6.68 5.50 11
Aug. 23 to Sept. 7 4.22 4.82 16
Nov. 1 to Nov. 13 3.31 4.74 13
The year 1906 was a neutral year. Prices for Industrials declined
only slightly during the year and average prices of railroad stocks
were the same in December as in January. Money could have been made
throughout the period, either by sales on rallies, or purchases on
declines. As a consideration of a neutral year would add little to this
exhibit, it will be omitted.
5.--What is the best general method of trading?
The writer’s reply to this question consists principally of a summing
up of points already covered in other portions of this work. It is
necessary to study and understand the subject thoroughly, to know
values, general conditions, the technical position of shares, and
above all things to consult future probabilities rather than past
performances. Study of the past has its educational value and this is
also true of the present, but the future is the all-important thing.
Retrospective speculation is one of the commonest and most flagrant
of the numerous errors made by public participators. Get whatever of
experience and information you can from history, but _speculate_ on the
_future_.
The man who enters the market with insufficient capital, who expects
to get rich quick or who allows success to lead him into excesses and
over-speculation will lose. It is as certain as death. He may succeed
for a time but not for long.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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