The evolution of climateBrooks, C. E. P. (Charles Ernest Pelham)
Science
The evolution of climate
Brooks, C. E. P. (Charles Ernest Pelham)
Climatology; Paleoclimatology
Thus over the greater part of the temperate regions of the northern
hemisphere we have evidence of an important rainy period between the
extreme limits of 1800 B.C. and A.D. 400 or 500. This period was best
developed from 1200 B.C. to A.D. 200, and reached its maximum about
400 B.C. It constitutes a remarkable wave of climatic variation,
which is hitherto without adequate explanation. A somewhat similar,
though less intense, wave which occurred about A.D. 1200-1300, and
which is described in the following chapter, was associated by Wolf
to a great outburst of sunspots which took place about A.D. 1200. It
is well known that sunspots are an index of solar activity, the sun’s
radiation being greater at times of spot maximum than at times of
spot minimum. Greater solar radiation increases the evaporation over
the oceans, so that the air becomes more humid. This moist air is
carried by atmospheric currents over the land, where the moisture is
condensed into clouds and greatly increases the rainfall. At the same
time the cloud canopy shuts off some of the direct heat of the sun,
and we have the curious paradox that at times of sunspot maximum, or
greatest solar radiation, the temperature of the earth’s surface is
lowest.
The connexion outlined above is, however, extremely problematical
for temperate regions. Since the absolute sunspot maximum at A.D.
1200 is also very doubtful, it will be realized that the evidence for
the sunspot hypothesis of the mediæval rainfall maximum is extremely
slender. Furthermore, since we know nothing whatever about the solar
activity during the classical rainfall maximum, we are still less in
a position to extend the sunspot hypothesis to that period also.
The interesting theory recently put forward by O. Pettersson, already
alluded to, provides a plausible alternative explanation of the
severe stormy climate of the Peat-bog period, which reached a maximum
near 400 B.C. Without going into details this theory is that the
strength of the tides depends on the relative positions of the sun
and moon, and the tides are greatest when these act in conjunction,
and also when they are nearest to the earth. This fluctuation of
strength passes through various cyclic variations with periods of
nine years, about ninety years and about 1800 years, though the
lengths of the periods are not constant. The latter cycle is most
important to our purposes; according to Pettersson’s calculations
the fluctuations of the “tide-generating force” were as follow:
Maxima 3500 B.C. 2100 B.C. 350 B.C. A.D. 1434
Minima 2800 B.C. 1200 B.C. A.D. 530.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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