The evolution of climateBrooks, C. E. P. (Charles Ernest Pelham)
Science
The evolution of climate
Brooks, C. E. P. (Charles Ernest Pelham)
Climatology; Paleoclimatology
In Europe the evidence for climatic changes during historical times
is more difficult to follow, since variations of rainfall leave fewer
traces in a moist than in an arid or semi-arid country. A certain
amount of material is given by Brückner in his “Klimaschwankungen.”
He finds that there was a great advance of the Alpine glaciers from
1595 to 1610, while two Italian lakes without outlet, the Lago di
Fucina and Lake Trasimeno, attained a high level about the same
time. Other evidence for western Europe is derived from the date
of the wine-harvest and from the records of severe winters. Like
the growth-curves of the big trees, they need a secular correction
to alter the general slope of the curve, especially in the case of
severe winters, but the larger irregularities probably correspond to
real variations of climate. I have added in column 4 the numbers of
winters with sea-ice on some part of the Danish coast, as tabulated
from the records compiled by Captain C. I. H. Speerschneider. The
results are in general agreement with column 3, particularly as
showing that the period 1401-50 was relatively mild; but the first
half of the seventeenth century is less instead of greater than its
two neighbours in this column.
The figures for the wine-harvest refer to the average for the period
1816-80; - indicates that the harvest was so many days earlier than
normal, corresponding to a high summer temperature (May to August).
The table shows that cold winters were especially numerous in the
first half of the twelfth century and again in the thirteenth. The
end of the fifteenth century was marked by hot summers and mild
winters, or a warmer climate; the beginning of the seventeenth
century by cold (presumably snowy) winters and cool summers. Thus the
periods of increased rainfall in the arid regions of Asia and America
were marked by a colder climate in the rainy regions of western
Europe.
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