the home supply with a net importation of 31,000,000 barrels, chiefly
from Mexico. The year 1918 was a war year but in 1919, despite peace,
production in the United States rose to 377,000,000 barrels. Thus
an ever-increasing demand--especially for gasoline--is producing a
pressure on crude supplies greater than in war time.
It does not follow that all the estimated available crude reserves in
American territory can be reached in even the near future. American
oil wells will undoubtedly be producing at least seventy-five years
hence, for the very good reason that all the hidden pools cannot be
discovered forthwith or immediately made productive, even when located.
But the condition the American nation must face in connection with its
own wells is the probability of a gradual decline after the peak of
production has been reached, an event that may transpire this year or
next, or may be delayed for a decade.
Mr. White’s paper, which had the effect of enlightening many as to the
changing phases of the oil industry, also emphasized the possibilities
of the development of shale oil, a potential resource which might
prove a suitable substitute. But since this product is still in the
experimental stage, and since it has never been claimed for it that
it could develop the manifold richness and varied utility of crude
petroleum, it is not necessary to discuss its possibilities in a book
devoted to the latter product. Whatever the future of shale oil, it
cannot alter the plain circumstance that if it is to be maintained at
its present level for any extended period, the American oil industry
must look for reserves abroad.
A glance at the world’s production for the year 1917 proves that the
United States has more at stake in this matter than all the other
nations combined. The production was distributed as follows:
United States 66.2 per cent.
Russia 13.6 ” ”
Mexico 10.9 ” ”
Dutch East Indies 2.6 ” ”
Other countries 6.7 ” ”
Since then the proportion has been altered, Russia dropping to third
place and Mexico rising to second, the relation of the United States to
total production remaining probably unchanged.
The predominating importance of the petroleum industry to the American
people was indicated in a speech delivered by Sir Auckland Geddes,
British Ambassador to the United States, at New York in May of the
present year (1920) when he said that this country controlled 82 per
cent of the present visible world supply.
This estimate of course embraces not only domestic fields but foreign
fields developed by American private enterprise. It demonstrated
completely the claim of the United States to leadership in dealing with
so vital an international question as the world’s petroleum supply--not
only as the chief consumers but to all intents and purposes, the
founders of the industry.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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