The argument is unsound, and unreasonable; a State may be reliably
Republican at one election and yet go Democratic at the next. In 1872
General Grant, the Republican candidate for President, carried nearly
every State in the Union, in the South as well as in the North. Four
years later Governor Hayes, the Republican candidate for President,
came within one vote of being defeated in the electoral college; and
even then his election was made possible only through the decision of
the Electoral Commission. In 1880 General Garfield, the Republican
candidate for President, carried New York, and was elected; while four
years later Mr. Blaine, the candidate of the same party, lost it and was
defeated. In 1888 Harrison, the Republican Presidential candidate,
carried New York, and was elected; four years later he not only lost New
York, but also such important States as Indiana and Illinois, and came
within a few votes of losing Ohio. This was due to a slump in the
Republican vote throughout the country, which would have made a very
radical change in the National Convention of 1896 if the apportionment
of delegates to that convention had been based upon the votes cast for
Harrison in 1892. While McKinley, the Republican Presidential candidate,
was elected by a large majority in 1896, he lost such important Western
States as Kansas, Nebraska, Colorado, Montana, Washington and Nevada.
While he was reelected four years later by an increased majority, he
again lost some of the same States. While Roosevelt, the Republican
Presidential candidate in 1904, carried every State that McKinley
carried in 1900, and several others besides, Mr. Bryan, the Democratic
candidate in 1908, though defeated by a large majority, regained some
of the Western States that Roosevelt carried in 1904,--notably his own
State of Nebraska.
There was a time when such States as Delaware, Maryland, West Virginia,
Kentucky, Missouri, and Tennessee were as safely Democratic as Texas and
Georgia. Will anyone assert that such is true of them now? There also
was a time when such States as Nebraska, Colorado and Nevada were as
reliably Republican as Pennsylvania and Vermont. Is that true of them
now? In addition to these, taking into consideration important elections
that have been held since 1880, the Republicans cannot absolutely rely
upon the support of such States as Massachusetts, Maine, Connecticut,
New York, New Jersey, Indiana, Illinois, Kansas, and even Ohio. Even the
strong Republican State of Pennsylvania has occasionally gone Democratic
in what is called an "off year." Other Republican States,--or States
that usually go Republican,--have gone Democratic when it was not an off
year,--Illinois, for instance, in 1892. All of this goes to prove how
unreliable, unsafe, unsatisfactory, unjust and unfair would be the
change in the basis of representation as thus proposed.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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