The Forgotten Man, and Other EssaysSumner, William Graham
Science
The Forgotten Man, and Other Essays
Sumner, William Graham
Economics; Social sciences
Here we have to make a radical distinction between two different
propositions for an international coinage union. The first is that
of M. Wolowski. He pointed to the comparatively small fluctuations
of the precious metals and to the effect which France had exerted
by the double standard, and inferred that if all civilized nations
would join France in her system they might arrest the fall of either
metal before it became important. If the coinage union fixed upon a
ratio of one to fifteen and one-half, then, if silver fell all would
use silver, which would arrest its fall. If gold should fall, all
would use gold. As the metal in use would always be the one which was
cheaper than the legal ratio, the other would be above it, if I may so
express it. Hence neither would be permanently demonetized, because
neither could fall so low as to go out of use. Only one would be used
at a time but the other would be within reach, and if either should
rise relatively to commodities, debtors would not suffer but might
even be benefited by being enabled to turn to the falling metal. This
system would require of the law nothing except to prescribe that the
mint should coin either metal indifferently which people might bring,
silver coins being made fifteen and one-half times as heavy as gold
coins of the same denomination, both being of the same fineness. This
is Wolowski’s plan, and these are the advantages he expected from
it. He thought that it would hold the alternative open between the
two metals. He feared that silver, if universally demonetized, would
fall so low as to go out of use entirely for money. He thought that
France and, later, the Latin Union ought not to bear alone the cost
of keeping up the value of silver. He thought the debtor ought not to
be oppressed by being forced to rely on one metal alone which might
rise relatively to commodities. He did not propose to give the debtor
the use of the whole mass of both metals at the same time. Indeed that
arrangement would defeat Wolowski’s purpose, for if the whole mass of
both metals could be brought into use at once prices would rise. Those
who are indebted now would win, but when prices and credit had adjusted
themselves to the bimetallic money the effect would be exhausted. Debts
contracted after that would be relatively just as heavy to pay as they
are now, and if the precious metals taken together rose relatively
to commodities, debtors would have no recourse to anything else. Now
this chance of recourse, when the standard of value rose, was just
what Wolowski wanted. His language is very guarded and scientific. He
never went further than to say that his scheme would restrain and limit
the fluctuations of the metals--how far he did not know and did not
pretend to say. He thought the fluctuations would be so narrow that the
transition from one metal to the other would be a relief to debtors
without any appreciable injustice to creditors. All this is very clear
and very sensible.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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