The Forgotten Man, and Other EssaysSumner, William Graham
Science
The Forgotten Man, and Other Essays
Sumner, William Graham
Economics; Social sciences
The opinion has been expressed that these two propositions differ only
in degree. From this opinion I must express my earnest dissent. It is
the very cardinal point of my present argument. Wolowski’s alternate
standard seems to me to rest upon the belief that legislation of
the kind proposed would restrict the fluctuations in value of the
metals. It affirms that legislation would have a certain tendency.
Any plan for a concurrent circulation giving debtors the use of
the whole mass of both metals pretends to say how far the tendency
would go and what its results would be. To my mind the difference
between those two propositions is that between a scientific and an
unscientific proposition. We have a parallel case before us. Some
say re-monetization would cause an advance in silver. Others say
re-monetization would make a four hundred and twelve and one-half grain
silver dollar equal in value to a gold one. Are those two propositions
the same save in degree? It seems to me that only a very superficial
consideration of them could so declare. Obviously they differ in
quality more than in degree. The former of these propositions is not
false in principle; the question in regard to it must be decided by
circumstances. The second is false and erroneous from beginning to end,
and would be false even if temporarily and by force of circumstances
the silver dollar should become equal to the gold dollar, because it
rests, like the old doctrine that nature abhors a vacuum, upon false
views of all the forces involved. Just so with regard to a concurrent
circulation or bimetallism as compared with the alternate standard.
The latter predicts tendencies to arise from the play of certain
forces. Those tendencies are the true effect of those forces. The
question may be raised whether the means proposed would bring those
forces into action, whether they would be as great as is expected,
whether they would be counteracted by others, but there is no error as
to the nature and operation of economic forces. Bimetallism predicts
results, not tendencies. It assumes to measure the consequences and
say what will result as a permanent state of things. It therefore
involves the doctrine that legislation can control natural forces for
definite results. If legislation cannot so control natural forces,
then we cannot secure a concurrent circulation, giving the debtor the
use of the whole mass of both metals with which to pay his debts. At
a time like this, when the silver craze seems to be asserting itself
as a mania, by sweeping away some who ought to be most staunch in
their adherence to economic laws and most clear in their perception of
economic truths, I may be pardoned for insisting most strenuously upon
this distinction and upon its importance. Many of the American writers
have been betrayed into error by not having examined these two plans
and discriminated between them with sufficient care. It is very common
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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