The Forgotten Man, and Other EssaysSumner, William Graham
Science
The Forgotten Man, and Other Essays
Sumner, William Graham
Economics; Social sciences
It would be easier to get up an
international union to do away with war. England is perfectly satisfied
with her money. She appreciates the peril of monetary experiments
and will make none. Germany, Sweden, Finland, Denmark, and Holland
have just changed from silver to gold, and will not enter on any new
changes for a long period, if ever. The coinage union is therefore out
of the question. The issue before us is simply whether we, being a
gold nation, will, under these circumstances, abandon gold and take up
silver. No doubt the nations which want gold would be very glad to have
us do it. We should render them a great service; we should, however, do
ourselves great harm, as much so as if we should buy a lot of cast-off
machinery from them. They are waiting to see whether we are ignorant
and foolish enough to put ourselves in this position; and when they
have seen, we shall hear no more of the coinage union.
I have now presented the views to which my study of this question
has led me. It will be perceived that I direct my attack against
the postulate of all the bimetallic theories. I have carefully
discriminated between the alternate standard and bimetallism. I have
said little about the former. It is very much a matter of opinion
whether it would work or not. I do not believe that it would, under
a coinage union, but I should not feel forced to take strong ground
against any one who held the contrary opinion. My subject has been
a concurrent circulation of gold and silver, and I have tried to
controvert the notion that any such thing is possible, with or without
a coinage union, because that notion contradicts the first great law
of economic science. If that notion is true, then there is no science
of political economy at all; there are no laws to be found out, a
professional economist has nothing to teach, and he might better try
to find some useful occupation. If that notion is true, we have no
ground on which to criticize the Congressmen who are trying to pass the
silver bill. We cannot predict any consequences or draw any inferences
from past experience. If legislation can control value for definite
results, then the whole matter is purely empirical. In that case, the
Congressional experiment may turn out well for all the grounds we have
to assert the contrary; its success would only be questionable, not
impossible; if it failed it would not be because its supporters had
attempted the impossible, but because they had not used sufficient
means. They could go on to try the experiment again and again in other
forms and with other means, and they would indeed be doing right to
proceed with their experiments, like the old alchemists, in the hope
of hitting it at last. No economist would have any ground upon which
to step in and define the limits of the possible, or to prescribe
the conditions of success, or to set forth the methods which must be
pursued--if he could not appeal with confidence to the laws of his
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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