The Forgotten Man, and Other EssaysSumner, William Graham
Science
The Forgotten Man, and Other Essays
Sumner, William Graham
Economics; Social sciences
The fact that prices are low is made the subject of social complaint
and of political agitation in the United States. Prices have undergone
a wave since 1850. They arose until about 1872. They have fallen
again. They are lower than they were at the top of the wave all the
world over. This fact, the explanation of which would furnish a very
complicated task for trained statisticians and economists, is made a
topic of easy interpretation and solution in political conventions and
popular harangues, and it is proposed to adopt violent and portentous
measures upon the basis of the flippant notions which are current about
it. But what difference does it make whether the “plane” of prices is
high or low? If corn is at forty cents a bushel and calico at twenty
cents a yard, a bushel buys two yards. If corn is at ten cents a bushel
and calico at five cents a yard, a bushel will buy two yards. So of
everything else. If, then, there has been a _general_ fall, and that
is the alleged grievance, neither farmers nor any other one class has
suffered by it.
It is undoubtedly true that a period of advancing prices stimulates
energy and enterprise. It does so even when, if all the facts were well
known, it might be found that capital was really being consumed in
successive periods of production. Falling prices discourage enterprise,
although, if all facts were known to the bottom, it might be found that
capital was being accumulated in successive periods of production.
It is also true that a depreciation of the money of account, _while it
is going on_, stimulates exports and restrains imports.
But who can tell how we are to make prices always go up, unless by
constant and unlimited inflation? Who can tell how we are to avoid
fluctuations in prices or eliminate the element of contingency, risk,
foresight, and speculation?
It is also true that, although high prices and low prices are
immaterial at any one time, the change from one to the other, from
one period of time to another, affects the burden of outstanding time
contracts. Men make contracts for dollars, not for dollar’s-worths.
Selling long or short is one thing; lending is another. Borrowers and
lenders never guarantee each other the purchasing power of dollars at a
future time. If the contracts were thus complicated they would become
impossible. Between 1850 and 1872 the debtors made no complaint and
the creditors never thought of getting up an agitation to have debts
scaled up. The debtors now are demanding that they be allowed to play
heads I win, tails you lose, and Mr. St. John and others tell us that
they have the votes to carry it; as if that made any difference in the
forum of discussion.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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