Has the discarded hypothesis, then, been barren? Far from that, it may
be said it has rendered more service than a true hypothesis. Not only
has it been the occasion of the decisive experiment, but, without having
made the hypothesis, the experiment would have been made by chance, so
that nothing would have been derived from it. One would have seen
nothing extraordinary; only one fact the more would have been catalogued
without deducing from it the least consequence.
Now on what condition is the use of hypothesis without danger?
The firm determination to submit to experiment is not enough; there are
still dangerous hypotheses; first, and above all, those which are tacit
and unconscious. Since we make them without knowing it, we are powerless
to abandon them. Here again, then, is a service that mathematical
physics can render us. By the precision that is characteristic of it, it
compels us to formulate all the hypotheses that we should make without
it, but unconsciously.
Let us notice besides that it is important not to multiply hypotheses
beyond measure, and to make them only one after the other. If we
construct a theory based on a number of hypotheses, and if experiment
condemns it, which of our premises is it necessary to change? It will be
impossible to know. And inversely, if the experiment succeeds, shall we
believe that we have demonstrated all the hypotheses at once? Shall we
believe that with one single equation we have determined several
unknowns?
We must equally take care to distinguish between the different kinds of
hypotheses. There are first those which are perfectly natural and from
which one can scarcely escape. It is difficult not to suppose that the
influence of bodies very remote is quite negligible, that small
movements follow a linear law, that the effect is a continuous function
of its cause. I will say as much of the conditions imposed by symmetry.
All these hypotheses form, as it were, the common basis of all the
theories of mathematical physics. They are the last that ought to be
abandoned.
There is a second class of hypotheses, that I shall term neutral. In
most questions the analyst assumes at the beginning of his calculations
either that matter is continuous or, on the contrary, that it is formed
of atoms. He might have made the opposite assumption without changing
his results. He would only have had more trouble to obtain them; that is
all. If, then, experiment confirms his conclusions, will he think that
he has demonstrated, for instance, the real existence of atoms?
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