We should therefore modify the enunciation and say: If an antecedent _A_
has once produced a consequent _B_, an antecedent _A'_, slightly
different from _A_, will produce a consequent _B'_, slightly different
from _B_. But how shall we recognize that the antecedents _A_ and _A'_
are 'slightly different'? If some one of the circumstances can be
expressed by a number, and this number has in the two cases values very
near together, the sense of the phrase 'slightly different' is
relatively clear; the principle then signifies that the consequent is a
continuous function of the antecedent. And as a practical rule, we reach
this conclusion that we have the right to interpolate. This is in fact
what scientists do every day, and without interpolation all science
would be impossible.
Yet observe one thing. The law sought may be represented by a curve.
Experiment has taught us certain points of this curve. In virtue of the
principle we have just stated, we believe these points may be connected
by a continuous graph. We trace this graph with the eye. New experiments
will furnish us new points of the curve. If these points are outside of
the graph traced in advance, we shall have to modify our curve, but not
to abandon our principle. Through any points, however numerous they may
be, a continuous curve may always be passed. Doubtless, if this curve is
too capricious, we shall be shocked (and we shall even suspect errors of
experiment), but the principle will not be directly put at fault.
Furthermore, among the circumstances of a phenomenon, there are some
that we regard as negligible, and we shall consider _A_ and _A'_ as
slightly different if they differ only by these accessory circumstances.
For instance, I have ascertained that hydrogen unites with oxygen under
the influence of the electric spark, and I am certain that these two
gases will unite anew, although the longitude of Jupiter may have
changed considerably in the interval. We assume, for instance, that the
state of distant bodies can have no sensible influence on terrestrial
phenomena, and that seems in fact requisite, but there are cases where
the choice of these practically indifferent circumstances admits of more
arbitrariness or, if you choose, requires more tact.
One more remark: The principle of induction would be inapplicable if
there did not exist in nature a great quantity of bodies like one
another, or almost alike, and if we could not infer, for instance, from
one bit of phosphorus to another bit of phosphorus.
If we reflect on these considerations, the problem of determinism and of
contingence will appear to us in a new light.
Suppose we were able to embrace the series of all phenomena of the
universe in the whole sequence of time. We could envisage what might be
called the _sequences_; I mean relations between antecedent and
consequent. I do not wish to speak of constant relations or laws, I
envisage separately (individually, so to speak) the different sequences
realized.
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