The Gaming Table: Its Votaries and Victims. Volume 2 (of 2)Steinmetz, Andrew
History
The Gaming Table: Its Votaries and Victims. Volume 2 (of 2)
Steinmetz, Andrew
Gambling
The possible combinations of cards in a hand as dealt out by chance are
truly wonderful. It has been established by calculation that a player
at Whist may hold above 635 thousand millions of various hands! So that,
continually varied, at 50 deals per evening, for 313 evenings, or 15,650
hands per annum, he might be above 40 millions of years before he would
have the same hand again!
The chance is equal, in dealing cards, that every hand will have seven
trumps in two deals, or seven trumps between two partners, and also four
court cards in every deal. It is also certain on an average of hands,
that nothing can be more superstitious and absurd than the prevailing
notions about luck or ill-luck. Four persons, constantly playing at
Whist during a long voyage, were frequently winners and losers to
a large amount, but as frequently at 'quits;' and at the end of the
voyage, after the last game, one of them was minus only one franc!
The chance of having a particular card out of 13 is 13/52, or 1 to
4, and the chance of holding any two cards is 1/4 of 1/4 or 1/16. The
chances of a game are generally inversely as the number got by each, or
as the number to be got to complete each game.
The chances against holding seven trumps are 160 to 1; against six, it
is 26 to 1; against five, 6 to 1; and against four nearly 2 to 1. It is
8 to 1 against holding any two particular cards.
Similar calculations have been made respecting the probabilities with
dice. There are 36 chances upon two dice.
It is an even chance that you throw 8. It is 35 to 1 against throwing
any particular doublets, and 6 to 1 against any doublets at all. It is
17 to 1 against throwing any two desired numbers. It is 4 to 9 against
throwing a single number with either of the dice, so as to hit a blot
and enter. Against hitting with the amount of two dice, the chances
against 7, 8, and 9 are 5 to 1; against 10 are 11 to 1; against 11 are
17 to 1; and against sixes, 35 to 1.
The probabilities of throwing required totals with two dice, depend on
the number of ways in which the totals can be made up by the dice;--2,
3, 11, or 12 can only be made up one way each, and therefore the chance
is but 1/36;--4, 5, 9, 10 may be made up two ways, or 1/8;--6, 7, 8
three ways, or 1/12. The chance of doublets is 1/36, the chance of
PARTICULAR doublets 1/216.
The method was largely applied to lotteries, cock-fighting, and
horse-racing. It may be asked how it is possible to calculate the odds
in horse-racing, when perhaps the jockeys in a great measure know before
they start which is to win?
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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