The Gaming Table: Its Votaries and Victims. Volume 2 (of 2)Steinmetz, Andrew
History
The Gaming Table: Its Votaries and Victims. Volume 2 (of 2)
Steinmetz, Andrew
Gambling
Example III. Suppose the same three as before, and the common bets 7 to
4 A against B; 21 to 20 (or 'gold to silver') B against C; we must state
it thus:--7 guineas to 4 A against B; and 4 guineas to L4, B against C;
which being reduced into shillings, the scheme will stand as follows:--
147 A's expectation. 81 B's expectation.
80 C's expectation.----311
By which it will be 164 to 147 the field against A, (something more
than 39 to 35). Now, if we compare this with the last example, we may
conclude it to be right; for if it had been 40 to 35, then it would have
been 8 to 7, exactly as in the last example. But, as some persons may
be at a loss to know why the numbers 39 and 35 are selected, it is
requisite to show the same by means of the Sliding Rule. Set 164 upon
the line A to 147 upon the slider B, and then look along till you see
two whole numbers which stand exactly one against the other (or as near
as you can come), which, in this case, you find to be 39 on A, standing
against 35 on the slider B (very nearly). But as 164/311 and 147/311 are
in the lowest terms, there are no less numbers, in the same proportion,
as 164 to 147,--39 and 35 being the nearest, but not quite exact.
Example IV. There are four horses to start for a sweepstake, namely,
A, B, C, D, and they are supposed to be as equally matched as possible.
Now, Mr Sly has laid 10 guineas A against C, and also 10 guineas A
against D. Likewise Mr Rider has laid 10 guineas A against C, and also
10 guineas B against D. After which Mr Dice laid Mr Sly 10 guineas to
4 that he will not win both his bets. Secondly, he laid Mr Rider 10
guineas to 4 that he will not win both his bets.
Now, we wish to know what Mr Dice's advantage or disadvantage is, in
laying these two last-mentioned wagers.
First, the probability of Mr Sly's winning both his bets is 1/3 of 14
guineas; and Mr Dice's expectation is 2/3 of 14 guineas, or L9 16s.,
which being deducted from his own stake (10 guineas), there remains
14s., which is his disadvantage in that bet.
Secondly, Mr Rider's expectation of winning his two bets is 1/4, and,
therefore, Mr Dice's expectation of the 14 guineas, is 3/4, or L11 0s.
6d., from which deduct 10 guineas (his own stake), and there remains
10s. 6d., his advantage in this bet,--which being deducted from 14s.
(his disadvantage in the other), there remains 3s 6d., his disadvantage
in paying both these bets.
These examples may suffice to show the working of the system; regular
tables exist adapted to all cases; and there can be no doubt that those
who have realized large fortunes by horse-racing managed to do so
by uniformly acting on some such principles, as well as by availing
themselves of such 'valuable information' as may be secured, before
events come off, by those who make horse-racing their business.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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