If there are some who conceive that any important end would be
answered by recording such opinions, or by collecting the history
of all the cases they could find in which no evidence of the
influence of contagion existed, I believe they are in error.
Suppose a few writers of authority can be found to profess a
disbelief in contagion,--and they are very few compared with
those who think differently,--is it quite clear that they formed
their opinions on a view of all the facts, or is it not apparent
that they relied mostly on their own solitary experience? Still
further, of those whose names are quoted, is it not true that
scarcely a single one could, by any possibility, have known the
half or the tenth of the facts bearing on the subject which have
reached such a frightful amount within the last few years? Again,
as to the utility of negative facts, as we may briefly call
them,--instances, namely, in which exposure has not been followed
by disease,--although, like other truths, they may be worth
knowing, I do not see that they are like to shed any important
light upon the subject before us. Every such instance requires a
good deal of circumstantial explanation before it can be
accepted. It is not enough that a practitioner should have had a
single case of puerperal fever not followed by others. It must be
known whether he attended others while this case was in progress,
whether he went directly from one chamber to others, whether he
took any, and what, precautions. It is important to know that
several women were exposed to infection derived from the patient,
so that allowance may be made for want of predisposition. Now, if
of negative facts so sifted there could be accumulated a hundred
for every one plain instance of communication here recorded, I
trust it need not be said that we are bound to guard and watch
over the hundredth tenant of our fold, though the ninety and nine
may be sure of escaping the wolf at its entrance. If any one is
disposed, then, to take a hundred instances of lives, endangered
or sacrificed out of those I have mentioned, and make it
reasonably clear that within a similar time and compass TEN
THOUSAND escaped the same exposure, I shall, thank him for his
industry, but I must be permitted to hold to my own practical
conclusions, and beg him to adopt or at least to examine them
also. Children that walk in calico before open fires are not
always burned to death; the instances to the contrary may be
worth recording; but by no means if they are to be used as
arguments against woollen frocks and high fenders.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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