Now how many points are there in a Grey Worm, above and below?
Mathematical accuracy would answer, an infinity; a few hundreds will
serve our purpose. Of this number, nine or perhaps more have to be
selected; the needle must be inserted there and not elsewhere: a little
higher, a little lower, a little to one side, it would not produce the
desired effect. If the favourable event is a purely accidental result,
how many combinations would be needed to bring it about, how much time
to exhaust all the possible cases? When the difficulty becomes too
pressing, you take refuge behind the mist of the ages; you retreat into
the shadows of the past as far as fancy can carry you; you call upon
time, that factor of which we have so little at our disposal and which,
for this very reason, is so well suited to hide our illusions. Here you
can let yourselves go and lavish the centuries. Suppose we shake up
hundreds of figures, all of different values, in an urn and draw nine
at random. When shall we, in this way, obtain a sequence fixed
beforehand, a sequence that stands alone? The chance is so slight,
answers mathematics, that we may as well put it down as nil and say
that the desired arrangement will never come about. For the Ammophila
of the prehistoric age, the attempt was renewed only at long intervals,
from one year to the next. Then how did this sequence of nine stings at
nine selected points emerge from the urn of chance? When I am driven to
appeal to infinity in time, I am very much afraid of running up against
absurdity.
‘But,’ say you, ‘the insect did not attain its present surgical
dexterity at the outset: it went through experiments, apprenticeships,
varying degrees of skill. There was a weeding-out by natural selection,
eliminating the less expert, retaining the more gifted; and instinct,
as we know it, developed gradually, thanks to the accumulation of
individual capacities, added to those handed down by heredity.’
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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