The success of this method depends altogether upon the exact knowledge
which we now have of the moon's course, and till that knowledge was
perfected it would have been found altogether illusory. Such in fact was
the judgment which Galileo pronounced upon it. "As to Morin's book on
the method of finding the longitude by means of the moon's motion, I say
freely that I conceive this idea to be as accurate in theory, as
fallacious and impossible in practice. I am sure that neither you nor
any one of the other four gentlemen can doubt the possibility of finding
the difference of longitude between two meridians by means of the moon's
motion, provided we are sure of the following requisites: First, an
Ephemeris of the moon's motion exactly calculated for the first meridian
from which the others are to be reckoned; secondly, exact instruments,
and convenient to handle, in taking the distance between the moon and a
fixed star; thirdly, great practical skill in the observer; fourthly,
not less accuracy in the scientific calculations, and astronomical
computations; fifthly, very perfect clocks to number the hours, or other
means of knowing them exactly, &c. Supposing, I say, all these elements
free from error, the longitude will be accurately found; but I reckon it
more easy and likely to err in all of these together, than to be
practically right in one alone. Morin ought to require his judges to
assign, at their pleasure, eight or ten moments of different nights
during four or six months to come, and pledge himself to predict and
assign by his calculations the distances of the moon at those determined
instants from some star which would then be near her. If it is found
that the distances assigned by him agree with those which the quadrant
or sextant[154] will actually show, the judges would be satisfied of his
success, or rather of the truth of the matter, and nothing would remain
but to show that his operations were such as could be performed by men
of moderate skill, and also practicable at sea as well as on land. I
incline much to think that an experiment of this kind would do much
towards abating the opinion and conceit which Morin has of himself,
which appears to me so lofty, that I should consider myself the eighth
sage, if I knew the half of what Morin presumes to know."
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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