When he came to compare the longitudes as given by this, which he
afterwards called the _vicarious_ theory, with the observations at
opposition, the result seemed to promise him the most brilliant success.
His greatest error did not exceed 2´; but, notwithstanding these
flattering anticipations, he soon found by a comparison of longitudes
out of opposition and of latitudes, that it was yet far from being so
complete as he had imagined, and to his infinite vexation he soon found
that the labour of four years, which he had expended on this theory,
must be considered almost entirely fruitless. Even his favourite
principle of dividing the excentricity in a different ratio from
Ptolemy, was found to lead him into greater error than if he had
retained the old bisection. By restoring that, he made his latitudes
more accurate, but produced a corresponding change for the worse in his
longitudes; and although the errors of 8´, to which they now amounted,
would probably have been disregarded by former theorists, Kepler could
not remain satisfied till they were accounted for. Accordingly he found
himself forced to the conclusion that one of the two principles on which
this theory rested must be erroneous; either the orbit of the planet is
not a perfect circle, or there is no fixed point within it round which
it moves with an uniform angular motion. He had once before admitted the
possibility of the former of these facts, conceiving it possible that
the motion of the planets is not at all curvilinear, but that they move
in polygons round the sun, a notion to which he probably inclined in
consequence of his favourite harmonics and geometrical figures.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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