However this may be, the immediate consequence of thus lighting upon the
real law observed by the earth in its passage round the sun was, that he
found himself in possession of a much more accurate method of
representing its inequalities than had been reached by any of his
predecessors; and with renewed hopes he again attacked the planet Mars,
whose path he was now able to consider undistorted by the illusions
arising out of the motion of the earth. Had the path of Mars been
accurately circular, or even as nearly approaching a circle as that of
the earth, the method he chose of determining its position and size by
means of three distances carefully calculated from his observed
parallaxes, would have given a satisfactory result; but finding, as he
soon did, that almost every set of three distances led him to a
different result, he began to suspect another error in the long-received
opinion, that the orbits of the planets must consist of a combination
of circles; he therefore, determined, in the first instance, to fix the
distances of the planet at the apsides without any reference to the form
of the intermediate orbit. Half the difference between these would, of
course, be the excentricity of the orbit; and as this quantity came out
very nearly the same as had been determined on the vicarious theory, it
seemed clear that the error of that theory, whatever it might be, did
not lie in these elements.
Kepler also found that in the case of this planet likewise, the times of
describing equal arcs at the apsides were proportional to its distances
from the sun, and he naturally expected that the method of areas would
measure the planet's motion with as much accuracy as he had found in the
case of the earth. This hope was disappointed: when he calculated the
motion of the planet by this method, he obtained places too much
advanced when near the apsides, and too little advanced at the mean
distances. He did not, on that account, immediately reject the opinion
of circular orbits, but was rather inclined to suspect the principle of
measurement, at which he felt that he had arrived in rather a precarious
manner. He was fully sensible that his areas did not accurately
represent the sums of any distances except those measured from the
centre of the circle; and for some time he abandoned the hope of being
able to use this substitution, which he always considered merely as an
approximate representation of the true measure, the sum of the
distances. But on examination he found that the errors of this
substitution were nearly insensible, and those it did in fact produce,
were in the contrary direction of the errors he was at this time
combating. As soon as he had satisfied himself of this, he ventured once
more on the supposition, which by this time had, in his eyes, almost
acquired the force of demonstration, that the orbits of the planets are
not circular, but of an oval form, retiring within the circle at the
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