When Kepler found with certainty that this oval from which he expected
so much would not satisfy the observations, his vexation was extreme,
not merely from the mortification of finding a theory confuted on which
he had spent such excessive labour, for he was accustomed to
disappointments of that kind, but principally from many anxious and
fruitless speculations as to the real physical causes why the planet did
not move in the supposed epicycle, that being the point of view, as has
been already shewn, from which he always preferred to begin his
inquiries. One part of the reasoning by which he reconciled himself to
the failure exhibits much too curious a view of the state of his mind to
be passed over in silence. The argument is founded on the difficulty
which he met with, as above mentioned, in calculating the proportions of
the oval path he had imagined. "In order that you may see the cause of
the impracticability of this method which we have just gone through,
consider on what foundations it rests. The planet is supposed to move
equably in the epicycle, and to be carried by the Sun unequably in the
proportion of the distances. But by this method it is impossible to be
known how much of the oval path corresponds to any given time, although
the distance at that part is known, unless we first know the length of
the whole oval. But the length of the oval cannot be known, except from
the law of the entry of the planet within the sides of the circle. But
neither can the law of this entry be known before we know how much of
the oval path corresponds to any given time. Here you see that there is
a _petitio principii_; and in my operations I was assuming that of which
I was in search, namely, the length of the oval. This is at least not
the fault of my understanding, but it is also most alien to the primary
Ordainer of the planetary courses: I have never yet found so
ungeometrical a contrivance in his other works. Therefore we must either
hit upon some other method of reducing the theory of the 45th chapter to
calculation; or if that cannot be done, the theory itself, suspected on
account of this _petitio principii_, will totter." Whilst his mind was
thus occupied, one of those extraordinary accidents which it has been
said never occur but to those capable of deriving advantage from them
(but which, in fact, are never noticed when they occur to any one else),
fortunately put him once more upon the right path. Half the extreme
breadth between the oval and the circle nearly represented the errors of
his distances at the mean point, and he found that this half was 429
parts of a radius, consisting of 100000 parts; and happening to advert
to the greatest optical inequality of Mars, which amounts to about 5°
18´, it struck him that 429 was precisely the excess of the secant of 5°
18´ above the radius taken at 100000. This was a ray of light, and, to
use his own words, it roused him as out of sleep. In short, this single
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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